Race 10B

eckerd-interconference

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

35.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Sam Shannon 18.2% 16.5% 13.3% 14.2% 11.2% 9.7% 6.5% 5.3% 3.3% 1.1% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Kelly Stukbauer 3.9% 5.8% 4.9% 6.4% 7.9% 7.6% 9.8% 10.3% 12.8% 11.4% 9.9% 4.5% 3.6% 1.2%
Stephan VerHulst 8.7% 7.9% 9.3% 9.9% 9.9% 10.0% 12.2% 11.4% 10.2% 5.0% 3.5% 1.5% 0.3% 0.2%
Harris Cram 3.1% 3.4% 4.9% 4.6% 5.7% 8.2% 9.2% 11.7% 12.2% 13.0% 10.4% 7.3% 5.1% 1.2%
Darby Reddaway 1.8% 2.3% 4.0% 3.5% 4.1% 5.3% 5.9% 9.4% 11.7% 12.3% 13.6% 12.8% 8.9% 4.4%
Samuel Normington 11.8% 10.5% 13.4% 12.1% 12.9% 11.7% 8.2% 8.9% 4.5% 3.7% 2.0% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Mary Dahl 16.9% 18.4% 13.2% 13.6% 11.6% 8.9% 8.0% 3.8% 3.2% 1.7% 0.4% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Dean Bethel 3.0% 2.4% 3.5% 3.9% 4.5% 5.2% 5.9% 8.9% 10.8% 11.8% 11.7% 13.4% 10.6% 4.4%
Robert Porter 13.9% 13.4% 13.5% 12.9% 13.4% 11.4% 8.8% 5.7% 3.2% 2.4% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
Alex Moreno 14.1% 14.4% 14.9% 11.5% 12.7% 10.5% 9.7% 5.7% 2.8% 2.5% 0.8% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Geoffrey Calderone 1.6% 2.1% 1.3% 2.6% 2.8% 4.0% 5.8% 7.3% 9.0% 11.2% 14.7% 16.1% 14.0% 7.5%
Katherine Schneeberger 0.7% 0.9% 1.4% 1.9% 1.4% 2.9% 2.9% 4.1% 7.1% 7.5% 13.5% 16.7% 20.8% 18.2%
Max Burson 1.9% 1.4% 1.8% 2.2% 1.3% 3.4% 4.7% 5.9% 6.9% 10.9% 12.0% 16.4% 19.5% 11.7%
Jessica Kurlander 0.4% 0.6% 0.6% 0.7% 0.6% 1.2% 2.4% 1.6% 2.3% 5.5% 6.0% 9.9% 17.0% 51.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.