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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Miami0.75+7.47vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University1.88+3.79vs Predicted
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3Eckerd College2.34+1.70vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston2.60+0.06vs Predicted
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5Texas A&M University at Galveston1.39+1.97vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida1.23+1.35vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston2.49-2.76vs Predicted
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8Tulane University1.12-0.54vs Predicted
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9Salve Regina University2.63-5.15vs Predicted
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10SUNY Stony Brook-0.92+1.03vs Predicted
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11Boston University2.51-6.61vs Predicted
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12Miami University0.10-2.32vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.47University of Miami0.750.0%1st Place
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5.79Jacksonville University1.880.1%1st Place
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4.7Eckerd College2.340.1%1st Place
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4.06College of Charleston2.600.2%1st Place
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6.97Texas A&M University at Galveston1.390.0%1st Place
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7.35University of South Florida1.230.0%1st Place
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4.24College of Charleston2.490.2%1st Place
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7.46Tulane University1.120.0%1st Place
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3.85Salve Regina University2.630.2%1st Place
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11.03SUNY Stony Brook-0.920.0%1st Place
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4.39Boston University2.510.1%1st Place
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9.68Miami University0.100.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raymond Manngiaratti | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 10.4% | 14.8% | 20.7% | 19.5% | 6.3% |
| Stephan VerHulst | 6.5% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 11.5% | 9.6% | 11.5% | 13.8% | 12.7% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 2.3% | 0.5% |
| Samuel Normington | 13.1% | 11.5% | 12.1% | 12.5% | 11.4% | 12.4% | 10.0% | 9.9% | 4.7% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Mary Dahl | 16.1% | 15.7% | 14.3% | 13.6% | 12.3% | 11.5% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Alexander Thompson | 3.9% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 11.5% | 12.3% | 15.2% | 11.5% | 7.7% | 2.0% |
| Kelly Stukbauer | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 11.2% | 11.9% | 15.4% | 15.6% | 10.0% | 2.2% |
| Robert Porter | 16.0% | 14.8% | 14.0% | 11.9% | 11.8% | 10.6% | 9.0% | 6.4% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Harris Cram | 3.9% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 11.7% | 15.1% | 16.1% | 11.3% | 2.9% |
| Sam Shannon | 18.3% | 16.0% | 15.9% | 14.1% | 10.6% | 10.1% | 7.2% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jessica Kurlander | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 4.0% | 6.7% | 16.2% | 64.5% |
| Alex Moreno | 14.2% | 14.4% | 13.3% | 11.9% | 13.9% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Max Burson | 1.5% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 7.7% | 9.9% | 15.5% | 31.1% | 21.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.