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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Salve Regina University2.63+3.05vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston2.49+2.37vs Predicted
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3Boston University2.51+1.23vs Predicted
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4Jacksonville University1.88+1.78vs Predicted
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5Texas A&M University at Galveston1.39+1.94vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston2.60-1.89vs Predicted
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7University of Miami0.75+1.29vs Predicted
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8Eckerd College2.34-3.38vs Predicted
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9Tulane University1.12-1.52vs Predicted
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10University of South Florida1.23-2.72vs Predicted
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11Miami University0.10-1.27vs Predicted
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12SUNY Stony Brook-0.92-0.88vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.05Salve Regina University2.630.2%1st Place
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4.37College of Charleston2.490.1%1st Place
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4.23Boston University2.510.2%1st Place
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5.78Jacksonville University1.880.1%1st Place
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6.94Texas A&M University at Galveston1.390.0%1st Place
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4.11College of Charleston2.600.2%1st Place
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8.29University of Miami0.750.0%1st Place
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4.62Eckerd College2.340.1%1st Place
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7.48Tulane University1.120.0%1st Place
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7.28University of South Florida1.230.0%1st Place
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9.73Miami University0.100.0%1st Place
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11.12SUNY Stony Brook-0.920.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Shannon | 16.3% | 14.3% | 15.5% | 15.4% | 12.2% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Robert Porter | 13.8% | 13.9% | 14.9% | 12.3% | 12.6% | 10.7% | 9.1% | 6.3% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Alex Moreno | 15.8% | 13.8% | 14.9% | 11.3% | 12.8% | 11.6% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Stephan VerHulst | 6.3% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 11.0% | 10.4% | 10.8% | 12.6% | 10.5% | 10.9% | 6.8% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Alexander Thompson | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 10.9% | 12.8% | 13.8% | 13.0% | 8.0% | 1.4% |
| Mary Dahl | 15.3% | 17.3% | 13.2% | 13.4% | 12.8% | 10.0% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Raymond Manngiaratti | 3.0% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 13.4% | 19.3% | 18.9% | 6.6% |
| Samuel Normington | 14.6% | 13.2% | 12.0% | 12.7% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 10.5% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Harris Cram | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 13.0% | 15.6% | 16.3% | 10.3% | 1.8% |
| Kelly Stukbauer | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 10.1% | 13.5% | 14.4% | 16.4% | 8.9% | 2.1% |
| Max Burson | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 11.0% | 14.6% | 32.1% | 21.4% |
| Jessica Kurlander | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 17.5% | 66.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.