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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.61+2.68vs Predicted
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2University of California at Berkeley0.92+3.61vs Predicted
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3University of California at Berkeley-0.43+7.55vs Predicted
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4Santa Clara University0.21+4.23vs Predicted
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5Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.06+4.04vs Predicted
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6Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.18+2.58vs Predicted
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7California State University Monterey Bay0.14+1.55vs Predicted
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8University of California at Los Angeles1.39-3.67vs Predicted
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9University of California at San Diego0.39-1.28vs Predicted
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10University of California at Davis-0.43+0.55vs Predicted
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11University of California at Santa Cruz0.02-1.89vs Predicted
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12University of California at San Diego-0.62-0.68vs Predicted
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13University of California at Santa Cruz0.26-4.88vs Predicted
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14University of California at Los Angeles-0.94-1.46vs Predicted
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15University of California at Davis-1.64-0.70vs Predicted
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16University of California at Berkeley-0.01-6.86vs Predicted
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17Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.68-5.38vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.68Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.610.2%1st Place
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5.61University of California at Berkeley0.920.1%1st Place
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10.55University of California at Berkeley-0.430.0%1st Place
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8.23Santa Clara University0.210.1%1st Place
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9.04Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.060.0%1st Place
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8.58Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.180.0%1st Place
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8.55California State University Monterey Bay0.140.0%1st Place
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4.33University of California at Los Angeles1.390.2%1st Place
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7.72University of California at San Diego0.390.1%1st Place
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10.55University of California at Davis-0.430.0%1st Place
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9.11University of California at Santa Cruz0.020.0%1st Place
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11.32University of California at San Diego-0.620.0%1st Place
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8.12University of California at Santa Cruz0.260.1%1st Place
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12.54University of California at Los Angeles-0.940.0%1st Place
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14.3University of California at Davis-1.640.0%1st Place
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9.14University of California at Berkeley-0.010.0%1st Place
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11.62Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.680.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ben Brough | 23.4% | 17.4% | 13.6% | 14.2% | 10.1% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Markowitz | 11.3% | 11.2% | 10.8% | 10.2% | 10.9% | 7.2% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Vidar Emil Sebastian Aspelin | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 5.0% |
| Robbie Culkin | 6.1% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 1.2% |
| Dylan Rinker | 3.8% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 1.5% |
| Geoffrey Brelsford | 4.4% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 0.9% |
| Alicia Ward | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 5.8% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 1.1% |
| Elizabeth Hays | 17.4% | 17.7% | 13.6% | 10.0% | 12.3% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Rohrbach | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 0.9% |
| Alana McSween | 2.3% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 5.6% |
| Kip Wanaselja | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 1.8% |
| Grant Lin | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 12.3% | 13.1% | 7.8% |
| James Melvin | 5.0% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 1.2% |
| Thomas Garcia | 1.2% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 9.9% | 11.1% | 17.0% | 16.4% |
| Joseph Naro | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 14.2% | 43.7% |
| Tyler Hogan | 3.5% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 2.5% |
| Dallas Butler | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 8.4% | 10.3% | 12.8% | 11.5% | 10.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.