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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Berkeley0.92+4.59vs Predicted
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2Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.61+1.71vs Predicted
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3University of California at Los Angeles1.39+1.31vs Predicted
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4California State University Monterey Bay0.14+4.52vs Predicted
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5Santa Clara University0.21+3.06vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Cruz0.02+3.12vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Cruz0.26+1.10vs Predicted
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8Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.06+1.08vs Predicted
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9University of California at Davis-0.43+1.82vs Predicted
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10University of California at San Diego-0.62+1.22vs Predicted
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11University of California at Berkeley-0.01-1.73vs Predicted
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12Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.18-3.66vs Predicted
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13University of California at San Diego0.39-5.35vs Predicted
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14University of California at Berkeley-0.43-3.20vs Predicted
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15Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.68-3.47vs Predicted
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16University of California at Los Angeles-0.94-3.55vs Predicted
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17University of California at Davis-1.64-2.56vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.59University of California at Berkeley0.920.1%1st Place
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3.71Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.610.2%1st Place
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4.31University of California at Los Angeles1.390.2%1st Place
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8.52California State University Monterey Bay0.140.1%1st Place
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8.06Santa Clara University0.210.1%1st Place
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9.12University of California at Santa Cruz0.020.0%1st Place
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8.1University of California at Santa Cruz0.260.1%1st Place
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9.08Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.060.0%1st Place
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10.82University of California at Davis-0.430.0%1st Place
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11.22University of California at San Diego-0.620.0%1st Place
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9.27University of California at Berkeley-0.010.0%1st Place
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8.34Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.180.1%1st Place
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7.65University of California at San Diego0.390.1%1st Place
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10.8University of California at Berkeley-0.430.0%1st Place
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11.53Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.680.0%1st Place
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12.45University of California at Los Angeles-0.940.0%1st Place
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14.44University of California at Davis-1.640.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ian Markowitz | 11.4% | 11.9% | 10.8% | 10.8% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ben Brough | 21.8% | 18.2% | 15.4% | 13.0% | 9.8% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Hays | 16.5% | 15.9% | 14.6% | 13.0% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alicia Ward | 5.4% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 1.1% |
| Robbie Culkin | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 1.5% |
| Kip Wanaselja | 4.3% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 2.3% |
| James Melvin | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 0.6% |
| Dylan Rinker | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 2.2% |
| Alana McSween | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 6.1% |
| Grant Lin | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 10.9% | 10.0% | 7.8% |
| Tyler Hogan | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 4.9% | 1.5% |
| Geoffrey Brelsford | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 0.8% |
| Samuel Rohrbach | 6.7% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 0.3% |
| Vidar Emil Sebastian Aspelin | 1.7% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 5.8% |
| Dallas Butler | 1.6% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 10.9% | 12.1% | 10.2% |
| Thomas Garcia | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 12.5% | 14.7% | 15.8% |
| Joseph Naro | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 8.1% | 15.2% | 44.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.