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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Berkeley0.92+4.39vs Predicted
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2University of California at Los Angeles1.39+2.11vs Predicted
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3Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.61+0.65vs Predicted
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4Santa Clara University0.21+3.98vs Predicted
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5Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.06+3.88vs Predicted
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6University of California at Berkeley-0.43+4.57vs Predicted
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7University of California at Davis-0.43+3.39vs Predicted
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8University of California at San Diego-0.62+2.93vs Predicted
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9California State University Monterey Bay0.14-0.59vs Predicted
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10Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.68+1.21vs Predicted
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11University of California at Berkeley-0.01-1.91vs Predicted
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12University of California at Santa Cruz0.26-4.13vs Predicted
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13University of California at Santa Cruz0.02-4.18vs Predicted
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14Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.18-5.75vs Predicted
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15University of California at San Diego-0.54-4.15vs Predicted
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16University of California at Los Angeles-0.94-3.72vs Predicted
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17University of California at Davis-1.64-2.67vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.39University of California at Berkeley0.920.1%1st Place
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4.11University of California at Los Angeles1.390.2%1st Place
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3.65Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.610.2%1st Place
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7.98Santa Clara University0.210.1%1st Place
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8.88Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.060.0%1st Place
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10.57University of California at Berkeley-0.430.0%1st Place
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10.39University of California at Davis-0.430.0%1st Place
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10.93University of California at San Diego-0.620.0%1st Place
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8.41California State University Monterey Bay0.140.0%1st Place
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11.21Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.680.0%1st Place
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9.09University of California at Berkeley-0.010.0%1st Place
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7.87University of California at Santa Cruz0.260.1%1st Place
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8.82University of California at Santa Cruz0.020.1%1st Place
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8.25Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.180.0%1st Place
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10.85University of California at San Diego-0.540.0%1st Place
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12.28University of California at Los Angeles-0.940.0%1st Place
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14.33University of California at Davis-1.640.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ian Markowitz | 12.3% | 12.0% | 11.8% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 10.4% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Hays | 18.1% | 16.1% | 15.0% | 13.5% | 10.9% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ben Brough | 21.3% | 18.1% | 17.2% | 12.7% | 10.9% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Robbie Culkin | 5.6% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 2.0% | 0.6% |
| Dylan Rinker | 3.7% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 2.1% |
| Vidar Emil Sebastian Aspelin | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 5.4% |
| Alana McSween | 3.4% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 3.4% |
| Grant Lin | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 8.9% |
| Alicia Ward | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 1.4% |
| Dallas Butler | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 11.1% | 8.1% |
| Tyler Hogan | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 4.2% | 1.6% |
| James Melvin | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 0.8% |
| Kip Wanaselja | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 1.9% |
| Geoffrey Brelsford | 4.4% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 0.7% |
| Jason Barr | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 11.2% | 6.8% |
| Thomas Garcia | 1.8% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 10.8% | 15.1% | 14.4% |
| Joseph Naro | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 13.8% | 43.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.