← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of California at Los Angeles-0.94+10.94vs Predicted
-
2Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.18+6.12vs Predicted
-
3Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.61+0.62vs Predicted
-
4University of California at Berkeley0.92+1.62vs Predicted
-
5University of California at Santa Cruz0.02+3.61vs Predicted
-
6California State University Monterey Bay0.14+2.53vs Predicted
-
7University of California at Los Angeles1.39-2.88vs Predicted
-
8University of California at Berkeley-0.01+0.69vs Predicted
-
9University of California at Davis-0.43+1.62vs Predicted
-
10Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.06-1.08vs Predicted
-
11Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.68+0.40vs Predicted
-
12University of California at San Diego-0.54-1.16vs Predicted
-
13Santa Clara University0.21-4.89vs Predicted
-
14University of California at Berkeley-0.43-3.43vs Predicted
-
15University of California at San Diego-0.62-3.91vs Predicted
-
16University of California at Santa Cruz0.26-8.08vs Predicted
-
17University of California at Davis-1.64-2.71vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
11.94University of California at Los Angeles-0.940.0%1st Place
-
8.12Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.180.1%1st Place
-
3.62Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.610.2%1st Place
-
5.62University of California at Berkeley0.920.1%1st Place
-
8.61University of California at Santa Cruz0.020.0%1st Place
-
8.53California State University Monterey Bay0.140.0%1st Place
-
4.12University of California at Los Angeles1.390.2%1st Place
-
8.69University of California at Berkeley-0.010.1%1st Place
-
10.62University of California at Davis-0.430.0%1st Place
-
8.92Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.060.0%1st Place
-
11.4Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.680.0%1st Place
-
10.84University of California at San Diego-0.540.0%1st Place
-
8.11Santa Clara University0.210.1%1st Place
-
10.57University of California at Berkeley-0.430.0%1st Place
-
11.09University of California at San Diego-0.620.0%1st Place
-
7.92University of California at Santa Cruz0.260.0%1st Place
-
14.29University of California at Davis-1.640.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Garcia | 2.4% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 11.0% | 13.7% | 14.8% |
| Geoffrey Brelsford | 5.0% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 0.6% |
| Ben Brough | 22.9% | 18.0% | 16.4% | 11.6% | 10.4% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ian Markowitz | 11.0% | 12.4% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 11.2% | 12.1% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kip Wanaselja | 4.3% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 1.7% |
| Alicia Ward | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 1.0% |
| Elizabeth Hays | 17.3% | 16.4% | 16.0% | 13.5% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Hogan | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 2.0% |
| Alana McSween | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 10.4% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 5.3% |
| Dylan Rinker | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 3.8% | 1.5% |
| Dallas Butler | 2.4% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 10.1% | 11.8% | 12.6% | 8.9% |
| Jason Barr | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 10.8% | 9.2% | 6.9% |
| Robbie Culkin | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 1.0% |
| Vidar Emil Sebastian Aspelin | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 5.3% |
| Grant Lin | 1.8% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 11.3% | 7.2% |
| James Melvin | 4.7% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 0.6% |
| Joseph Naro | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 13.7% | 43.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.