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📊 Prediction Accuracy
8.3%
Within 2 Positions
6.0
Avg Position Diff
24
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.80+5.71vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.65+10.36vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University3.26+6.26vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.41+9.76vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College3.62+2.38vs Predicted
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6Boston University3.35+2.80vs Predicted
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7University of New Hampshire1.65+10.04vs Predicted
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8Amherst College2.01+7.50vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University3.61-1.71vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.95+9.70vs Predicted
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11Salve Regina University3.31-1.98vs Predicted
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12Middlebury College1.87+4.00vs Predicted
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13Tufts University3.37-4.23vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.92-3.38vs Predicted
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15Bowdoin College2.70-2.86vs Predicted
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16Brown University3.40-7.65vs Predicted
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17Maine Maritime Academy2.81-5.63vs Predicted
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18Connecticut College2.67-5.85vs Predicted
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19University of Connecticut1.81-3.06vs Predicted
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21University of Rhode Island3.62-13.68vs Predicted
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22Brandeis University1.35-3.54vs Predicted
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23McGill University1.60-5.76vs Predicted
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25Bates College1.67-8.08vs Predicted
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26Williams College1.47-8.10vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.71Yale University3.800.1%1st Place
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12.36Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.650.0%1st Place
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9.26Northeastern University3.260.1%1st Place
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13.76Harvard University2.410.0%1st Place
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7.38Dartmouth College3.620.1%1st Place
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8.8Boston University3.350.1%1st Place
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17.04University of New Hampshire1.650.0%1st Place
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15.5Amherst College2.010.0%1st Place
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7.29Roger Williams University3.610.1%1st Place
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19.7Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.950.0%1st Place
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9.02Salve Regina University3.310.1%1st Place
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16.0Middlebury College1.870.0%1st Place
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8.77Tufts University3.370.1%1st Place
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10.62U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.920.0%1st Place
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12.14Bowdoin College2.700.0%1st Place
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8.35Brown University3.400.1%1st Place
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11.37Maine Maritime Academy2.810.0%1st Place
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12.15Connecticut College2.670.0%1st Place
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15.94University of Connecticut1.810.0%1st Place
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7.32University of Rhode Island3.620.1%1st Place
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18.46Brandeis University1.350.0%1st Place
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17.24McGill University1.600.0%1st Place
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16.92Bates College1.670.0%1st Place
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17.9Williams College1.470.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christopher Segerblom | 10.5% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Steven Drapcho | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 0.2% |
| Maarten Eenkema Van Dijk | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Byrne | 2.8% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 0.9% |
| Bernie Roesler | 8.0% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Matt Johnson | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 8.5% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Christopher Edwards | 1.4% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 10.4% | 10.5% | 9.1% |
| Tyler Black | 2.0% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 3.0% |
| Cameron Pimentel | 7.5% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Robert Pierce | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 6.3% | 3.8% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 11.0% | 14.1% | 29.7% |
| Matthew Schon | 7.4% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Brown | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 10.7% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 4.6% |
| William Hutchings | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rian Bareuther | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Billy Rohman | 3.6% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Nikolas Osvalds | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Poole | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Max Rollins | 4.1% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.5% |
| Brian Pracon | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 5.2% |
| Matthew Carmody | 9.5% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrea Verdeja | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 12.1% | 16.5% |
| Leif Macdonald | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 8.8% |
| Christopher Cason | 2.0% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 10.4% | 9.2% |
| Timothy Lorenzen | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 12.4% | 11.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.