Race 6A

cedarfest

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Arden Carleton 36.5% 24.9% 17.8% 9.5% 5.7% 3.5% 1.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Jack Rutherford 5.3% 7.2% 9.0% 9.3% 10.9% 11.9% 11.6% 11.9% 10.1% 8.6% 3.5% 0.5%
Emily Williams 9.0% 11.7% 11.2% 11.5% 11.4% 13.2% 10.8% 9.2% 6.3% 3.8% 1.8% 0.1%
Kassidy Kennedy 3.5% 4.2% 5.0% 6.0% 6.5% 9.2% 8.6% 11.9% 14.9% 16.6% 11.2% 2.5%
Alex Day 13.2% 14.8% 14.4% 13.5% 12.8% 11.2% 7.7% 6.0% 4.0% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1%
Marco Constantini 10.6% 12.8% 12.0% 13.9% 13.9% 10.9% 10.8% 6.8% 4.5% 2.5% 1.2% 0.1%
Carly Irwin 5.9% 7.3% 8.8% 9.8% 9.2% 11.0% 11.8% 12.8% 10.2% 8.4% 4.0% 0.7%
Keegan Beyer 4.8% 5.2% 7.1% 8.2% 8.7% 8.4% 10.8% 12.8% 13.4% 12.4% 6.9% 1.4%
Keegan Aerts 2.5% 2.5% 3.4% 4.6% 5.7% 5.5% 7.4% 9.9% 13.9% 19.9% 17.7% 7.0%
Joey Skerbeck 7.0% 7.3% 9.2% 10.3% 12.4% 11.1% 12.6% 10.6% 9.6% 6.2% 2.8% 0.8%
Tiegan Witte 1.2% 1.8% 1.2% 2.7% 2.1% 2.9% 4.6% 5.6% 9.8% 14.3% 35.4% 18.3%
Adam Bryan 0.2% 0.2% 0.7% 0.7% 0.8% 1.1% 2.0% 2.1% 3.0% 5.5% 15.0% 68.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.