← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Santa Clara University0.21+7.04vs Predicted
-
2University of California at Berkeley0.92+3.67vs Predicted
-
3Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.18+5.35vs Predicted
-
4University of California at Los Angeles1.39+0.41vs Predicted
-
5University of California at Santa Cruz0.02+3.79vs Predicted
-
6University of California at Santa Cruz0.26+2.30vs Predicted
-
7Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.61-3.28vs Predicted
-
8University of California at Berkeley-0.43+2.41vs Predicted
-
9University of California at Berkeley-0.01+0.29vs Predicted
-
10California State University Monterey Bay0.14-1.58vs Predicted
-
11Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.06-1.59vs Predicted
-
12University of California at Los Angeles-0.94+0.40vs Predicted
-
13University of California at San Diego-0.62-1.57vs Predicted
-
14University of California at Davis-0.43-3.19vs Predicted
-
15University of California at Davis-1.64-0.70vs Predicted
-
16Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.68-4.43vs Predicted
-
17University of California at San Diego0.39-9.32vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
8.04Santa Clara University0.210.1%1st Place
-
5.67University of California at Berkeley0.920.1%1st Place
-
8.35Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.180.1%1st Place
-
4.41University of California at Los Angeles1.390.2%1st Place
-
8.79University of California at Santa Cruz0.020.0%1st Place
-
8.3University of California at Santa Cruz0.260.0%1st Place
-
3.72Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.610.2%1st Place
-
10.41University of California at Berkeley-0.430.0%1st Place
-
9.29University of California at Berkeley-0.010.0%1st Place
-
8.42California State University Monterey Bay0.140.0%1st Place
-
9.41Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.060.0%1st Place
-
12.4University of California at Los Angeles-0.940.0%1st Place
-
11.43University of California at San Diego-0.620.0%1st Place
-
10.81University of California at Davis-0.430.0%1st Place
-
14.3University of California at Davis-1.640.0%1st Place
-
11.57Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.680.0%1st Place
-
7.68University of California at San Diego0.390.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robbie Culkin | 6.3% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 0.6% |
| Ian Markowitz | 11.7% | 10.7% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 10.4% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Geoffrey Brelsford | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 2.7% | 1.3% |
| Elizabeth Hays | 18.2% | 14.6% | 12.9% | 12.2% | 11.3% | 8.4% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kip Wanaselja | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 9.1% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 2.1% |
| James Melvin | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 0.9% |
| Ben Brough | 20.9% | 19.4% | 15.0% | 12.7% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Vidar Emil Sebastian Aspelin | 3.7% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 5.5% |
| Tyler Hogan | 2.8% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 2.5% |
| Alicia Ward | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 1.0% |
| Dylan Rinker | 4.6% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 3.0% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 2.6% |
| Thomas Garcia | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 13.0% | 15.9% | 16.1% |
| Grant Lin | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 9.9% | 11.8% | 10.8% | 9.2% |
| Alana McSween | 1.9% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 10.7% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 5.3% |
| Joseph Naro | 0.6% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 9.2% | 14.9% | 42.9% |
| Dallas Butler | 2.0% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 10.8% | 10.1% | 12.2% | 9.3% |
| Samuel Rohrbach | 5.0% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.