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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Los Angeles1.39+3.21vs Predicted
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2University of California at San Diego0.39+5.51vs Predicted
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3University of California at Berkeley-0.01+6.11vs Predicted
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4University of California at Davis-0.43+6.61vs Predicted
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5Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.06+4.15vs Predicted
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6University of California at Berkeley0.92-0.14vs Predicted
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7Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.61-3.30vs Predicted
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8University of California at Santa Cruz0.02+0.78vs Predicted
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9Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.18-0.41vs Predicted
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10California State University Monterey Bay0.14-1.58vs Predicted
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11University of California at Santa Cruz0.26-2.77vs Predicted
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12Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.68-0.46vs Predicted
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13University of California at Berkeley-0.43-2.26vs Predicted
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14Santa Clara University0.21-5.66vs Predicted
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15University of California at Davis-1.64-0.64vs Predicted
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16University of California at San Diego-0.62-4.61vs Predicted
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17University of California at Los Angeles-0.94-4.55vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.21University of California at Los Angeles1.390.2%1st Place
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7.51University of California at San Diego0.390.1%1st Place
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9.11University of California at Berkeley-0.010.0%1st Place
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10.61University of California at Davis-0.430.0%1st Place
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9.15Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.060.0%1st Place
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5.86University of California at Berkeley0.920.1%1st Place
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3.7Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.610.2%1st Place
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8.78University of California at Santa Cruz0.020.1%1st Place
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8.59Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.180.0%1st Place
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8.42California State University Monterey Bay0.140.0%1st Place
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8.23University of California at Santa Cruz0.260.1%1st Place
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11.54Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.680.0%1st Place
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10.74University of California at Berkeley-0.430.0%1st Place
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8.34Santa Clara University0.210.0%1st Place
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14.36University of California at Davis-1.640.0%1st Place
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11.39University of California at San Diego-0.620.0%1st Place
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12.45University of California at Los Angeles-0.940.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elizabeth Hays | 20.0% | 15.2% | 12.5% | 11.7% | 10.9% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Rohrbach | 5.7% | 5.9% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Tyler Hogan | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 3.4% | 2.2% |
| Alana McSween | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 5.5% |
| Dylan Rinker | 3.4% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 1.8% |
| Ian Markowitz | 9.8% | 11.5% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Ben Brough | 21.3% | 18.6% | 15.3% | 13.6% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kip Wanaselja | 5.4% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 8.8% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 1.7% |
| Geoffrey Brelsford | 3.7% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 2.5% | 1.3% |
| Alicia Ward | 4.3% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 1.0% |
| James Melvin | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 2.3% | 0.8% |
| Dallas Butler | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 13.3% | 10.1% |
| Vidar Emil Sebastian Aspelin | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.4% |
| Robbie Culkin | 4.4% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| Joseph Naro | 0.5% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 9.0% | 16.3% | 43.0% |
| Grant Lin | 2.1% | 1.1% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 10.4% | 11.8% | 8.5% |
| Thomas Garcia | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 13.7% | 16.4% | 15.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.