← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of California at Los Angeles1.39+3.22vs Predicted
-
2Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.61+1.73vs Predicted
-
3Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.06+6.20vs Predicted
-
4Santa Clara University0.21+4.25vs Predicted
-
5University of California at San Diego0.39+2.47vs Predicted
-
6University of California at Davis-0.43+4.83vs Predicted
-
7University of California at Berkeley0.92-1.25vs Predicted
-
8University of California at Berkeley-0.43+2.44vs Predicted
-
9University of California at Santa Cruz0.02+0.10vs Predicted
-
10University of California at Berkeley-0.01-1.04vs Predicted
-
11California State University Monterey Bay0.14-2.32vs Predicted
-
12University of California at Santa Cruz0.26-3.91vs Predicted
-
13Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.68-1.37vs Predicted
-
14University of California at San Diego-0.62-2.51vs Predicted
-
15University of California at Davis-1.64-0.71vs Predicted
-
16University of California at Los Angeles-0.94-3.58vs Predicted
-
17Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.18-8.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.22University of California at Los Angeles1.390.2%1st Place
-
3.73Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.610.2%1st Place
-
9.2Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.060.0%1st Place
-
8.25Santa Clara University0.210.1%1st Place
-
7.47University of California at San Diego0.390.1%1st Place
-
10.83University of California at Davis-0.430.0%1st Place
-
5.75University of California at Berkeley0.920.1%1st Place
-
10.44University of California at Berkeley-0.430.0%1st Place
-
9.1University of California at Santa Cruz0.020.0%1st Place
-
8.96University of California at Berkeley-0.010.0%1st Place
-
8.68California State University Monterey Bay0.140.1%1st Place
-
8.09University of California at Santa Cruz0.260.0%1st Place
-
11.63Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.680.0%1st Place
-
11.49University of California at San Diego-0.620.0%1st Place
-
14.29University of California at Davis-1.640.0%1st Place
-
12.42University of California at Los Angeles-0.940.0%1st Place
-
8.46Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.180.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elizabeth Hays | 19.5% | 14.4% | 14.0% | 12.0% | 10.7% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ben Brough | 21.6% | 19.4% | 14.1% | 13.6% | 9.7% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Rinker | 3.3% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 2.5% |
| Robbie Culkin | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 1.2% |
| Samuel Rohrbach | 5.7% | 7.1% | 9.4% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 0.4% |
| Alana McSween | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 11.2% | 9.4% | 6.0% |
| Ian Markowitz | 10.2% | 9.2% | 11.2% | 11.0% | 11.3% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Vidar Emil Sebastian Aspelin | 3.8% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 5.5% |
| Kip Wanaselja | 3.1% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 1.9% |
| Tyler Hogan | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 1.3% |
| Alicia Ward | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 1.6% |
| James Melvin | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 0.7% |
| Dallas Butler | 2.4% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 10.9% | 12.7% | 9.8% |
| Grant Lin | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 12.1% | 12.4% | 8.8% |
| Joseph Naro | 0.5% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 13.6% | 43.7% |
| Thomas Garcia | 1.9% | 0.8% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 9.7% | 11.8% | 15.4% | 15.1% |
| Geoffrey Brelsford | 4.2% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 1.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.