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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Berkeley1.57+2.77vs Predicted
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2University of California at Los Angeles0.92+3.51vs Predicted
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3University of California at San Diego-0.11+6.18vs Predicted
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4University of California at Berkeley1.09+0.87vs Predicted
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5Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.93+0.34vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Cruz0.20+1.83vs Predicted
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7Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.89+4.84vs Predicted
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8Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.19+1.18vs Predicted
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9California State University Monterey Bay-0.57+1.68vs Predicted
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10University of California at Los Angeles-1.35+3.67vs Predicted
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11University of California at Davis-1.64+3.32vs Predicted
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12University of California at Santa Cruz-0.09-2.83vs Predicted
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13University of California at Los Angeles-0.44-2.90vs Predicted
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14Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.59-3.52vs Predicted
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15University of California at San Diego0.43-8.04vs Predicted
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16University of California at San Diego-0.54-5.38vs Predicted
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17University of California at Berkeley-1.33-3.47vs Predicted
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18University of California at Davis-1.55-4.06vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.77University of California at Berkeley1.570.2%1st Place
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5.51University of California at Los Angeles0.920.1%1st Place
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9.18University of California at San Diego-0.110.0%1st Place
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4.87University of California at Berkeley1.090.1%1st Place
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5.34Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.930.1%1st Place
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7.83University of California at Santa Cruz0.200.1%1st Place
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11.84Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.890.0%1st Place
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9.18Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.190.0%1st Place
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10.68California State University Monterey Bay-0.570.0%1st Place
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13.67University of California at Los Angeles-1.350.0%1st Place
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14.32University of California at Davis-1.640.0%1st Place
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9.17University of California at Santa Cruz-0.090.0%1st Place
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10.1University of California at Los Angeles-0.440.0%1st Place
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10.48Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.590.0%1st Place
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6.96University of California at San Diego0.430.1%1st Place
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10.62University of California at San Diego-0.540.0%1st Place
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13.53University of California at Berkeley-1.330.0%1st Place
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13.94University of California at Davis-1.550.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicolai Sponholtz | 20.0% | 19.7% | 15.3% | 10.9% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Leah Ford | 9.1% | 11.1% | 11.8% | 11.5% | 10.8% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Natalie Hopper | 3.3% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 0.8% |
| Eric Witte | 14.3% | 13.5% | 13.6% | 10.8% | 10.5% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 6.5% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Lausten | 12.3% | 12.6% | 11.5% | 11.3% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Brocchini | 5.8% | 5.1% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Liam Russell | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 10.4% | 9.1% | 6.7% |
| Belle Lemoine | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 0.6% |
| Levi Matsushima | 2.2% | 2.2% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 10.4% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 2.5% |
| Sara Stratte | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 9.6% | 13.4% | 15.6% | 17.5% |
| Joseph Naro | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 12.2% | 16.4% | 26.4% |
| Julian Weiswasser | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 1.9% | 0.6% |
| Ben Gerber | 4.1% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 1.2% |
| Thomas Niemisto | 3.0% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 2.8% |
| Yan Rui Goheen | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jason Barr | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 2.8% |
| Keir Oxford Pope | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 11.8% | 14.9% | 17.2% |
| Michelle Moua | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 12.0% | 16.8% | 20.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.