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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
5.8
Avg Position Diff
24
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Connecticut2.39+12.25vs Predicted
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2Connecticut College2.64+10.11vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College3.62+4.32vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.41+9.45vs Predicted
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5Yale University3.80+1.45vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.92+4.71vs Predicted
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7Boston University3.35+1.50vs Predicted
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8Amherst College2.01+7.23vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University3.61-2.93vs Predicted
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11Brown University3.40-2.68vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.65+0.11vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College2.70-1.23vs Predicted
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14University of New Hampshire1.65+3.23vs Predicted
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15Middlebury College1.87+0.74vs Predicted
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16Bates College1.67+1.11vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.95+2.85vs Predicted
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18Brandeis University1.25+0.45vs Predicted
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19McGill University1.60-1.85vs Predicted
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20Northeastern University3.26-11.27vs Predicted
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21Salve Regina University2.05-6.27vs Predicted
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23University of Rhode Island3.62-15.58vs Predicted
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24Williams College1.47-6.33vs Predicted
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25Maine Maritime Academy2.81-13.87vs Predicted
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26Tufts University3.37-17.51vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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13.25University of Connecticut2.390.0%1st Place
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12.11Connecticut College2.640.0%1st Place
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7.32Dartmouth College3.620.1%1st Place
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13.45Harvard University2.410.0%1st Place
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6.45Yale University3.800.1%1st Place
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10.71U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.920.0%1st Place
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8.5Boston University3.350.1%1st Place
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15.23Amherst College2.010.0%1st Place
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7.07Roger Williams University3.610.1%1st Place
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8.32Brown University3.400.1%1st Place
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12.11Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.650.0%1st Place
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11.77Bowdoin College2.700.0%1st Place
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17.23University of New Hampshire1.650.0%1st Place
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15.74Middlebury College1.870.0%1st Place
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17.11Bates College1.670.0%1st Place
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19.85Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.950.0%1st Place
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18.45Brandeis University1.250.0%1st Place
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17.15McGill University1.600.0%1st Place
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8.73Northeastern University3.260.1%1st Place
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14.73Salve Regina University2.050.0%1st Place
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7.42University of Rhode Island3.620.1%1st Place
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17.67Williams College1.470.0%1st Place
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11.13Maine Maritime Academy2.810.0%1st Place
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8.49Tufts University3.370.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Moulthrop | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 1.1% |
| Timothy Clark | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| Bernie Roesler | 8.5% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Byrne | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 0.7% |
| Christopher Segerblom | 11.9% | 10.5% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rian Bareuther | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Matt Johnson | 6.9% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Black | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 4.0% |
| Cameron Pimentel | 8.9% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nikolas Osvalds | 8.1% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Steven Drapcho | 3.9% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Billy Rohman | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Christopher Edwards | 0.9% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 10.8% | 8.4% |
| Benjamin Brown | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 4.2% |
| Christopher Cason | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 10.9% | 7.6% |
| Robert Pierce | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 5.7% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 15.7% | 28.8% |
| Jared Dunn | 0.8% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 14.5% | 19.4% |
| Leif Macdonald | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 10.8% | 10.5% | 9.3% |
| Maarten Eenkema Van Dijk | 7.0% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Stephen Byrne | 1.7% | 1.1% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 2.9% |
| Matthew Carmody | 6.6% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Timothy Lorenzen | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 11.2% | 10.5% | 12.3% |
| Christopher Poole | 4.6% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| William Hutchings | 7.0% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.