Race 7A

cedarfest

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

58.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Alex Day 13.0% 13.4% 15.2% 13.4% 13.0% 11.8% 8.8% 6.1% 3.5% 1.2% 0.5% 0.1%
Ryan Dodge 8.7% 10.1% 11.1% 11.4% 13.7% 12.5% 10.3% 9.8% 7.7% 3.8% 0.9% 0.1%
Emily Williams 8.6% 10.7% 13.4% 12.2% 13.3% 11.1% 11.2% 8.9% 6.1% 3.7% 0.8% 0.1%
Arden Carleton 36.3% 25.9% 16.6% 10.7% 5.9% 2.9% 1.4% 0.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Marco Constantini 11.2% 12.3% 13.1% 14.5% 13.3% 11.6% 8.7% 7.6% 4.7% 2.5% 0.5% 0.0%
Jack Rutherford 7.1% 7.8% 8.2% 9.3% 11.0% 10.9% 13.1% 11.7% 10.4% 7.2% 2.8% 0.5%
Keegan Aerts 2.9% 3.2% 3.8% 4.3% 5.0% 6.7% 8.3% 10.3% 14.2% 18.7% 16.5% 6.1%
Carly Irwin 5.2% 7.5% 9.1% 10.8% 9.7% 11.7% 13.4% 11.6% 10.7% 6.8% 3.0% 0.5%
George Prokop 2.2% 2.8% 3.0% 4.8% 5.0% 6.5% 7.5% 11.3% 14.3% 18.4% 18.3% 5.9%
Kassidy Kennedy 3.5% 4.5% 4.7% 5.8% 6.9% 9.0% 10.2% 13.2% 14.2% 14.4% 10.8% 2.6%
Tiegan Witte 0.9% 1.2% 1.5% 2.3% 2.1% 4.2% 5.4% 6.8% 10.5% 16.9% 30.2% 17.9%
Adam Bryan 0.3% 0.6% 0.6% 0.5% 1.3% 1.1% 1.6% 2.3% 3.4% 6.5% 15.6% 66.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.