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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Berkeley1.09+4.00vs Predicted
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2University of California at Los Angeles0.92+3.46vs Predicted
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3University of California at San Diego-0.11+6.14vs Predicted
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4University of California at Los Angeles-1.35+9.34vs Predicted
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5University of California at Berkeley1.57-1.33vs Predicted
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6University of California at San Diego-0.54+4.55vs Predicted
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7University of California at Berkeley-1.33+6.38vs Predicted
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8Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.19+1.24vs Predicted
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9University of California at San Diego0.43-2.11vs Predicted
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10Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.93-4.49vs Predicted
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11California State University Monterey Bay-0.57-0.14vs Predicted
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12University of California at Santa Cruz-0.09-2.78vs Predicted
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13University of California at Santa Cruz0.20-5.31vs Predicted
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14University of California at Davis-1.64+0.12vs Predicted
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15Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.59-4.22vs Predicted
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16University of California at Los Angeles-0.44-5.79vs Predicted
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17University of California at Davis-1.55-2.79vs Predicted
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18Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.89-6.28vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.0University of California at Berkeley1.090.1%1st Place
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5.46University of California at Los Angeles0.920.1%1st Place
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9.14University of California at San Diego-0.110.0%1st Place
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13.34University of California at Los Angeles-1.350.0%1st Place
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3.67University of California at Berkeley1.570.2%1st Place
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10.55University of California at San Diego-0.540.0%1st Place
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13.38University of California at Berkeley-1.330.0%1st Place
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9.24Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.190.0%1st Place
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6.89University of California at San Diego0.430.1%1st Place
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5.51Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.930.1%1st Place
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10.86California State University Monterey Bay-0.570.0%1st Place
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9.22University of California at Santa Cruz-0.090.0%1st Place
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7.69University of California at Santa Cruz0.200.1%1st Place
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14.12University of California at Davis-1.640.0%1st Place
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10.78Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.590.0%1st Place
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10.21University of California at Los Angeles-0.440.0%1st Place
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14.21University of California at Davis-1.550.0%1st Place
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11.72Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.890.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eric Witte | 13.2% | 12.6% | 12.8% | 11.0% | 11.6% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Leah Ford | 10.4% | 9.6% | 12.5% | 11.5% | 11.0% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Natalie Hopper | 3.2% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 0.6% |
| Sara Stratte | 0.8% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 10.1% | 12.8% | 14.3% | 16.2% |
| Nicolai Sponholtz | 23.9% | 19.2% | 12.5% | 13.9% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jason Barr | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 3.0% |
| Keir Oxford Pope | 1.7% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 13.1% | 14.6% | 16.5% |
| Belle Lemoine | 4.1% | 3.3% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 0.8% |
| Yan Rui Goheen | 5.6% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 10.4% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Lausten | 11.8% | 10.1% | 11.9% | 10.5% | 10.4% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Levi Matsushima | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 10.3% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 3.5% |
| Julian Weiswasser | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 1.2% |
| Alexander Brocchini | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
| Joseph Naro | 1.3% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 11.0% | 16.5% | 23.8% |
| Thomas Niemisto | 2.2% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 2.9% |
| Ben Gerber | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 2.1% |
| Michelle Moua | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 12.0% | 17.3% | 23.6% |
| Liam Russell | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 10.6% | 8.4% | 5.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.