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📊 Prediction Accuracy
52.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hampton University3.02+2.32vs Predicted
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2Columbia University1.47+5.32vs Predicted
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3SUNY Maritime College1.19+5.33vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University2.50+0.48vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University2.50-0.52vs Predicted
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6Christopher Newport University2.21-0.64vs Predicted
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7Stevens Institute of Technology1.40+0.70vs Predicted
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8Virginia Tech1.34-0.21vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland2.31-3.88vs Predicted
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10SUNY Stony Brook0.90-0.74vs Predicted
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11Drexel University-0.16+1.09vs Predicted
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12U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.02-6.03vs Predicted
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13University of Maryland/Baltimore County-0.48-0.06vs Predicted
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14University of Maryland-0.33-1.43vs Predicted
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15SUNY Maritime College1.23-6.81vs Predicted
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16Virginia Tech1.34-8.21vs Predicted
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17University of Buffalo0.75-7.43vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.32Hampton University3.020.3%1st Place
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7.32Columbia University1.470.0%1st Place
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8.33SUNY Maritime College1.190.0%1st Place
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4.48Old Dominion University2.500.1%1st Place
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4.48Old Dominion University2.500.1%1st Place
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5.36Christopher Newport University2.210.1%1st Place
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7.7Stevens Institute of Technology1.400.0%1st Place
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7.79Virginia Tech1.340.1%1st Place
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5.12St. Mary's College of Maryland2.310.1%1st Place
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9.26SUNY Stony Brook0.900.0%1st Place
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12.09Drexel University-0.160.0%1st Place
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5.97U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.020.1%1st Place
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12.94University of Maryland/Baltimore County-0.480.0%1st Place
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12.57University of Maryland-0.330.0%1st Place
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8.19SUNY Maritime College1.230.0%1st Place
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7.79Virginia Tech1.340.1%1st Place
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9.57University of Buffalo0.750.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maximilian Kuester | 25.4% | 21.3% | 15.3% | 12.3% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Paolo Bertolotti | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 2.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Hall | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 10.6% | 9.5% | 10.9% | 8.0% | 3.7% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alec Chicoine | 13.4% | 15.2% | 14.7% | 12.5% | 11.3% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alec Chicoine | 13.4% | 15.2% | 14.7% | 12.5% | 11.3% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Austin Powers | 12.1% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 12.4% | 9.7% | 12.2% | 10.2% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Julian Fraize | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 9.8% | 11.2% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 4.5% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Raymond Bay | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 10.9% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ellie Ungar | 12.2% | 11.5% | 11.6% | 11.9% | 11.9% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Manfredi | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 12.0% | 11.9% | 12.0% | 5.6% | 2.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Haley Clemson | 0.5% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 9.3% | 15.6% | 23.3% | 22.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Austin Neuman | 8.5% | 9.1% | 10.6% | 9.7% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Thompson | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 8.6% | 11.7% | 22.8% | 37.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Stoner | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 7.8% | 13.9% | 23.2% | 30.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Keegan | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 11.8% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 3.5% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Raymond Bay | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 10.9% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rory Mess | 1.7% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 7.0% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 11.5% | 13.3% | 13.0% | 9.0% | 3.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.