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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hampton University3.02+2.31vs Predicted
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2Virginia Tech1.34+5.78vs Predicted
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3Christopher Newport University2.21+2.21vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University2.50+0.52vs Predicted
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5U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.02+0.95vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University2.50-1.48vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland2.31-1.99vs Predicted
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8Columbia University1.47-0.57vs Predicted
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9SUNY Stony Brook0.90+0.27vs Predicted
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10Virginia Tech1.34-2.22vs Predicted
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11SUNY Maritime College1.19-2.67vs Predicted
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12Stevens Institute of Technology1.40-4.20vs Predicted
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13SUNY Maritime College1.23-4.78vs Predicted
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14University of Maryland/Baltimore County-0.48-1.07vs Predicted
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15University of Maryland-0.33-2.44vs Predicted
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16Drexel University-0.16-3.94vs Predicted
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17University of Buffalo0.75-7.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.31Hampton University3.020.2%1st Place
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7.78Virginia Tech1.340.0%1st Place
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5.21Christopher Newport University2.210.1%1st Place
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4.52Old Dominion University2.500.1%1st Place
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5.95U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.020.1%1st Place
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4.52Old Dominion University2.500.1%1st Place
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5.01St. Mary's College of Maryland2.310.1%1st Place
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7.43Columbia University1.470.1%1st Place
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9.27SUNY Stony Brook0.900.0%1st Place
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7.78Virginia Tech1.340.0%1st Place
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8.33SUNY Maritime College1.190.0%1st Place
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7.8Stevens Institute of Technology1.400.1%1st Place
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8.22SUNY Maritime College1.230.0%1st Place
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12.93University of Maryland/Baltimore County-0.480.0%1st Place
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12.56University of Maryland-0.330.0%1st Place
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12.06Drexel University-0.160.0%1st Place
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9.61University of Buffalo0.750.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maximilian Kuester | 24.7% | 23.4% | 14.1% | 12.4% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Raymond Bay | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 2.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Austin Powers | 11.4% | 10.8% | 11.3% | 11.0% | 12.0% | 10.8% | 9.7% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alec Chicoine | 14.9% | 13.7% | 15.1% | 11.9% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Austin Neuman | 9.2% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 10.9% | 11.3% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alec Chicoine | 14.9% | 13.7% | 15.1% | 11.9% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ellie Ungar | 11.2% | 11.6% | 11.9% | 13.2% | 12.3% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Paolo Bertolotti | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Manfredi | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 9.9% | 11.2% | 12.6% | 12.1% | 7.0% | 2.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Raymond Bay | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 2.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Hall | 3.0% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 11.2% | 10.1% | 10.6% | 10.0% | 6.6% | 3.9% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Julian Fraize | 5.0% | 3.0% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 9.9% | 12.2% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Keegan | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 4.1% | 1.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Thompson | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 8.1% | 13.4% | 23.2% | 36.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Stoner | 0.6% | 0.2% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 7.8% | 14.1% | 22.6% | 31.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Haley Clemson | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 16.5% | 21.6% | 22.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rory Mess | 1.8% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 11.4% | 14.3% | 12.6% | 9.4% | 3.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.