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📊 Prediction Accuracy
58.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Old Dominion University2.50+3.46vs Predicted
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2Hampton University3.02+1.28vs Predicted
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3Christopher Newport University2.21+2.20vs Predicted
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4U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.02+1.84vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University2.50-0.54vs Predicted
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6Stevens Institute of Technology1.40+1.72vs Predicted
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7Columbia University1.47+0.54vs Predicted
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8Virginia Tech1.34-0.15vs Predicted
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9Virginia Tech1.34-1.15vs Predicted
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10SUNY Stony Brook0.90-0.74vs Predicted
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11St. Mary's College of Maryland2.31-6.04vs Predicted
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12SUNY Maritime College1.19-3.55vs Predicted
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13University of Maryland-0.33-0.57vs Predicted
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14Drexel University-0.16-1.70vs Predicted
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15SUNY Maritime College1.23-6.56vs Predicted
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16University of Buffalo0.75-6.39vs Predicted
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17University of Maryland/Baltimore County-0.48-4.34vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.46Old Dominion University2.500.2%1st Place
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3.28Hampton University3.020.3%1st Place
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5.2Christopher Newport University2.210.1%1st Place
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5.84U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.020.1%1st Place
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4.46Old Dominion University2.500.2%1st Place
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7.72Stevens Institute of Technology1.400.0%1st Place
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7.54Columbia University1.470.0%1st Place
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7.85Virginia Tech1.340.1%1st Place
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7.85Virginia Tech1.340.1%1st Place
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9.26SUNY Stony Brook0.900.0%1st Place
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4.96St. Mary's College of Maryland2.310.1%1st Place
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8.45SUNY Maritime College1.190.0%1st Place
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12.43University of Maryland-0.330.0%1st Place
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12.3Drexel University-0.160.0%1st Place
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8.44SUNY Maritime College1.230.0%1st Place
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9.61University of Buffalo0.750.0%1st Place
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12.66University of Maryland/Baltimore County-0.480.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alec Chicoine | 15.4% | 15.2% | 13.0% | 13.3% | 10.2% | 9.5% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 4.1% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Maximilian Kuester | 25.3% | 21.3% | 15.1% | 11.7% | 10.1% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Austin Powers | 10.1% | 10.9% | 13.1% | 11.3% | 11.4% | 9.4% | 11.2% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Austin Neuman | 7.9% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 11.6% | 10.6% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alec Chicoine | 15.4% | 15.2% | 13.0% | 13.3% | 10.2% | 9.5% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 4.1% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Julian Fraize | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 12.5% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Paolo Bertolotti | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 10.4% | 9.9% | 10.5% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 4.2% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Raymond Bay | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 10.1% | 10.8% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Raymond Bay | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 10.1% | 10.8% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Manfredi | 3.2% | 2.2% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 11.1% | 13.7% | 10.6% | 7.3% | 2.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ellie Ungar | 11.3% | 11.8% | 12.8% | 13.0% | 11.1% | 10.3% | 9.9% | 7.6% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Hall | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 10.5% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 4.5% | 1.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Stoner | 0.8% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 9.6% | 14.0% | 21.8% | 29.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Haley Clemson | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 15.9% | 23.4% | 24.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Keegan | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 10.2% | 11.3% | 11.9% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 1.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rory Mess | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 11.1% | 13.9% | 13.0% | 9.0% | 3.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Thompson | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 7.7% | 14.4% | 20.1% | 35.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.