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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stevens Institute of Technology1.40+6.61vs Predicted
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2Virginia Tech1.34+5.72vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University2.50+1.45vs Predicted
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4Hampton University3.02-0.66vs Predicted
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5Columbia University1.47+2.55vs Predicted
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6U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.02-0.14vs Predicted
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7SUNY Maritime College1.19+1.27vs Predicted
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8Christopher Newport University2.21-2.65vs Predicted
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9Old Dominion University2.50-4.55vs Predicted
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10St. Mary's College of Maryland2.31-5.02vs Predicted
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11Virginia Tech1.34-3.28vs Predicted
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12SUNY Maritime College1.23-3.65vs Predicted
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13University of Buffalo0.75-3.31vs Predicted
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14University of Maryland/Baltimore County-0.48-1.05vs Predicted
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15SUNY Stony Brook0.90-5.51vs Predicted
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16University of Maryland-0.33-3.56vs Predicted
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17Drexel University-0.16-5.04vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.61Stevens Institute of Technology1.400.1%1st Place
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7.72Virginia Tech1.340.0%1st Place
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4.45Old Dominion University2.500.1%1st Place
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3.34Hampton University3.020.2%1st Place
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7.55Columbia University1.470.0%1st Place
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5.86U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.020.1%1st Place
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8.27SUNY Maritime College1.190.0%1st Place
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5.35Christopher Newport University2.210.1%1st Place
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4.45Old Dominion University2.500.1%1st Place
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4.98St. Mary's College of Maryland2.310.1%1st Place
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7.72Virginia Tech1.340.0%1st Place
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8.35SUNY Maritime College1.230.0%1st Place
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9.69University of Buffalo0.750.0%1st Place
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12.95University of Maryland/Baltimore County-0.480.0%1st Place
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9.49SUNY Stony Brook0.900.0%1st Place
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12.44University of Maryland-0.330.0%1st Place
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11.96Drexel University-0.160.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julian Fraize | 5.3% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Raymond Bay | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 5.3% | 2.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alec Chicoine | 14.7% | 14.1% | 13.0% | 14.4% | 11.6% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Maximilian Kuester | 24.7% | 20.9% | 14.7% | 12.1% | 11.7% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Paolo Bertolotti | 4.7% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 10.0% | 11.5% | 9.4% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 2.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Austin Neuman | 8.9% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 11.0% | 9.8% | 11.7% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Hall | 4.9% | 3.3% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 10.1% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 1.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Austin Powers | 10.1% | 12.1% | 13.0% | 7.7% | 11.0% | 11.0% | 8.1% | 10.4% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alec Chicoine | 14.7% | 14.1% | 13.0% | 14.4% | 11.6% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ellie Ungar | 10.8% | 12.4% | 14.4% | 10.9% | 10.5% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Raymond Bay | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 5.3% | 2.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Keegan | 4.3% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 7.3% | 3.6% | 1.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rory Mess | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 10.9% | 11.8% | 12.4% | 9.3% | 5.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Thompson | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 5.3% | 9.2% | 12.8% | 23.0% | 36.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Manfredi | 2.3% | 2.3% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 10.4% | 12.5% | 13.2% | 10.9% | 8.2% | 3.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Stoner | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 15.3% | 22.4% | 28.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Haley Clemson | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 10.5% | 16.0% | 21.4% | 21.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.