Race 8A

cedarfest

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Arden Carleton 38.5% 24.8% 17.1% 10.1% 5.4% 2.5% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Jack Rutherford 5.1% 7.0% 7.9% 10.0% 10.5% 10.2% 12.7% 13.4% 12.2% 8.0% 2.8% 0.5%
Emily Williams 9.1% 11.8% 11.3% 12.6% 12.6% 12.8% 12.2% 8.1% 5.2% 3.5% 0.9% 0.1%
Ryan Dodge 7.7% 10.1% 12.9% 11.7% 13.1% 13.7% 10.5% 9.8% 6.1% 3.4% 0.9% 0.2%
Alex Day 13.6% 15.4% 14.0% 14.0% 12.3% 10.3% 8.9% 6.5% 3.1% 1.2% 0.7% 0.1%
Marco Constantini 10.3% 12.7% 13.6% 13.2% 13.2% 12.1% 9.8% 7.5% 4.5% 2.4% 0.6% 0.0%
Kassidy Kennedy 3.9% 4.2% 5.0% 5.8% 6.6% 9.0% 11.7% 12.3% 14.5% 15.1% 9.7% 2.2%
Carly Irwin 5.7% 6.8% 8.0% 10.1% 11.6% 13.5% 11.8% 13.3% 9.8% 6.6% 2.6% 0.4%
Keegan Aerts 2.0% 3.2% 4.3% 4.8% 5.3% 6.2% 6.9% 10.2% 15.0% 19.1% 17.6% 5.4%
Tiegan Witte 1.1% 1.1% 1.7% 2.5% 2.5% 3.5% 5.0% 7.3% 10.9% 15.4% 30.6% 18.3%
George Prokop 2.6% 2.5% 3.6% 4.6% 5.9% 5.0% 7.5% 9.3% 14.3% 18.9% 18.9% 6.9%
Adam Bryan 0.4% 0.4% 0.6% 0.8% 1.0% 1.2% 1.9% 2.1% 4.3% 6.7% 14.6% 66.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.