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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Virginia Tech1.34+6.92vs Predicted
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2Hampton University3.02+1.29vs Predicted
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3Columbia University1.47+4.60vs Predicted
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4Christopher Newport University2.21+1.47vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University2.50-0.33vs Predicted
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6Stevens Institute of Technology1.40+1.89vs Predicted
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7University of Maryland0.86+2.60vs Predicted
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8Virginia Tech1.34-0.08vs Predicted
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9Drexel University-0.16+3.36vs Predicted
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10University of Buffalo0.75-0.05vs Predicted
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11SUNY Stony Brook0.90-1.42vs Predicted
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12St. Mary's College of Maryland2.31-6.75vs Predicted
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13SUNY Maritime College1.23-4.30vs Predicted
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14Old Dominion University2.50-9.33vs Predicted
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15U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.02-8.86vs Predicted
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16University of Maryland/Baltimore County-0.48-2.98vs Predicted
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17SUNY Maritime College1.19-8.44vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.92Virginia Tech1.340.0%1st Place
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3.29Hampton University3.020.3%1st Place
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7.6Columbia University1.470.0%1st Place
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5.47Christopher Newport University2.210.1%1st Place
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4.67Old Dominion University2.500.2%1st Place
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7.89Stevens Institute of Technology1.400.0%1st Place
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9.6University of Maryland0.860.0%1st Place
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7.92Virginia Tech1.340.0%1st Place
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12.36Drexel University-0.160.0%1st Place
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9.95University of Buffalo0.750.0%1st Place
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9.58SUNY Stony Brook0.900.0%1st Place
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5.25St. Mary's College of Maryland2.310.1%1st Place
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8.7SUNY Maritime College1.230.0%1st Place
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4.67Old Dominion University2.500.2%1st Place
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6.14U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.020.1%1st Place
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13.02University of Maryland/Baltimore County-0.480.0%1st Place
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8.56SUNY Maritime College1.190.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raymond Bay | 4.8% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 4.1% | 1.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Maximilian Kuester | 25.7% | 19.1% | 16.6% | 12.3% | 10.8% | 6.4% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Paolo Bertolotti | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Austin Powers | 10.3% | 11.8% | 9.9% | 10.6% | 10.7% | 11.3% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alec Chicoine | 15.1% | 13.0% | 12.3% | 13.4% | 10.9% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Julian Fraize | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 7.7% | 10.0% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Thomas | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 10.4% | 11.4% | 11.7% | 10.9% | 5.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Raymond Bay | 4.8% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 4.1% | 1.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Haley Clemson | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 11.2% | 22.4% | 32.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rory Mess | 2.0% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 11.6% | 12.6% | 13.7% | 5.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Manfredi | 2.7% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 12.4% | 10.0% | 4.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ellie Ungar | 10.7% | 13.1% | 13.4% | 10.2% | 9.1% | 11.1% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Keegan | 3.5% | 2.8% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 10.3% | 9.0% | 6.3% | 1.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alec Chicoine | 15.1% | 13.0% | 12.3% | 13.4% | 10.9% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Austin Neuman | 8.0% | 8.0% | 10.8% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Thompson | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 4.7% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 18.5% | 45.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Hall | 3.4% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 9.0% | 6.0% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 5.0% | 2.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.