← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Christopher Newport University2.21+4.40vs Predicted
-
2Old Dominion University2.50+2.49vs Predicted
-
3Old Dominion University2.50+1.49vs Predicted
-
4St. Mary's College of Maryland2.31+1.10vs Predicted
-
5Columbia University1.47+2.68vs Predicted
-
6Virginia Tech1.34+2.11vs Predicted
-
7Stevens Institute of Technology1.40+0.90vs Predicted
-
8Hampton University3.02-4.59vs Predicted
-
9Virginia Tech1.34-0.89vs Predicted
-
10U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.02-4.01vs Predicted
-
11University of Maryland/Baltimore County-0.48+2.05vs Predicted
-
12University of Maryland0.86-2.28vs Predicted
-
13SUNY Maritime College1.19-4.42vs Predicted
-
14Drexel University-0.16-1.41vs Predicted
-
15SUNY Stony Brook0.90-5.31vs Predicted
-
16SUNY Maritime College1.23-7.60vs Predicted
-
17University of Buffalo0.75-7.11vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.4Christopher Newport University2.210.1%1st Place
-
4.49Old Dominion University2.500.1%1st Place
-
4.49Old Dominion University2.500.1%1st Place
-
5.1St. Mary's College of Maryland2.310.1%1st Place
-
7.68Columbia University1.470.0%1st Place
-
8.11Virginia Tech1.340.0%1st Place
-
7.9Stevens Institute of Technology1.400.0%1st Place
-
3.41Hampton University3.020.2%1st Place
-
8.11Virginia Tech1.340.0%1st Place
-
5.99U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.020.1%1st Place
-
13.05University of Maryland/Baltimore County-0.480.0%1st Place
-
9.72University of Maryland0.860.0%1st Place
-
8.58SUNY Maritime College1.190.0%1st Place
-
12.59Drexel University-0.160.0%1st Place
-
9.69SUNY Stony Brook0.900.0%1st Place
-
8.4SUNY Maritime College1.230.0%1st Place
-
9.89University of Buffalo0.750.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Austin Powers | 10.9% | 11.1% | 11.1% | 11.6% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 7.8% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alec Chicoine | 14.7% | 16.3% | 11.3% | 13.7% | 11.3% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alec Chicoine | 14.7% | 16.3% | 11.3% | 13.7% | 11.3% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ellie Ungar | 11.9% | 12.1% | 12.3% | 10.2% | 10.9% | 11.2% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Paolo Bertolotti | 4.5% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 5.5% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Raymond Bay | 4.3% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 10.0% | 9.9% | 10.2% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Julian Fraize | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 11.0% | 10.8% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Maximilian Kuester | 24.2% | 18.7% | 17.1% | 13.2% | 9.1% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Raymond Bay | 4.3% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 10.0% | 9.9% | 10.2% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Austin Neuman | 8.8% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 10.9% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Thompson | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 10.0% | 18.9% | 44.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Thomas | 2.7% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 10.1% | 11.9% | 11.9% | 11.6% | 4.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Hall | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 2.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Haley Clemson | 1.1% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 12.1% | 23.0% | 32.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Manfredi | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 11.3% | 12.7% | 11.4% | 10.0% | 5.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Keegan | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 10.9% | 11.1% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 5.8% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rory Mess | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 11.2% | 14.5% | 12.2% | 5.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.