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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hampton University3.02+2.35vs Predicted
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2Christopher Newport University2.21+3.25vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University2.50+1.55vs Predicted
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4Virginia Tech1.34+4.00vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University2.50-0.45vs Predicted
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6Virginia Tech1.34+2.00vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland2.31-1.78vs Predicted
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8SUNY Maritime College1.19+0.63vs Predicted
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9Columbia University1.47-1.35vs Predicted
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10U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.02-4.02vs Predicted
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11SUNY Stony Brook0.90-1.57vs Predicted
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12Stevens Institute of Technology1.40-4.04vs Predicted
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13University of Maryland0.86-3.40vs Predicted
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14SUNY Maritime College1.23-5.34vs Predicted
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15University of Maryland/Baltimore County-0.48-1.95vs Predicted
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16University of Buffalo0.75-6.08vs Predicted
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17Drexel University-0.42-4.26vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.35Hampton University3.020.3%1st Place
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5.25Christopher Newport University2.210.1%1st Place
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4.55Old Dominion University2.500.1%1st Place
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8.0Virginia Tech1.340.0%1st Place
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4.55Old Dominion University2.500.1%1st Place
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8.0Virginia Tech1.340.0%1st Place
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5.22St. Mary's College of Maryland2.310.1%1st Place
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8.63SUNY Maritime College1.190.0%1st Place
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7.65Columbia University1.470.1%1st Place
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5.98U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.020.1%1st Place
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9.43SUNY Stony Brook0.900.0%1st Place
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7.96Stevens Institute of Technology1.400.0%1st Place
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9.6University of Maryland0.860.0%1st Place
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8.66SUNY Maritime College1.230.0%1st Place
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13.05University of Maryland/Baltimore County-0.480.0%1st Place
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9.92University of Buffalo0.750.0%1st Place
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12.74Drexel University-0.420.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maximilian Kuester | 25.3% | 21.3% | 15.8% | 10.7% | 9.1% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Austin Powers | 10.8% | 11.9% | 13.1% | 10.3% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alec Chicoine | 13.9% | 13.2% | 16.1% | 11.9% | 10.7% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Raymond Bay | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 1.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alec Chicoine | 13.9% | 13.2% | 16.1% | 11.9% | 10.7% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Raymond Bay | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 1.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ellie Ungar | 11.8% | 11.8% | 10.4% | 11.9% | 9.7% | 12.3% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Hall | 3.1% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 10.7% | 10.9% | 8.5% | 5.5% | 1.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Paolo Bertolotti | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 3.4% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Austin Neuman | 9.7% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 10.8% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Manfredi | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 10.3% | 10.8% | 10.0% | 13.0% | 8.9% | 2.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Julian Fraize | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 10.5% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 1.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Thomas | 2.3% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 12.6% | 10.2% | 5.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Keegan | 3.3% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 7.9% | 9.9% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 5.2% | 1.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Thompson | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 24.7% | 41.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rory Mess | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 10.8% | 11.6% | 15.1% | 9.7% | 5.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Abigail Proko | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 7.9% | 10.1% | 23.2% | 37.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.