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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hampton University3.02+2.39vs Predicted
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2Old Dominion University2.50+2.44vs Predicted
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3SUNY Maritime College1.19+5.49vs Predicted
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4Christopher Newport University2.21+1.44vs Predicted
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5Columbia University1.47+2.71vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University2.50-1.56vs Predicted
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7Stevens Institute of Technology1.40+0.92vs Predicted
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8Virginia Tech1.34+0.06vs Predicted
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9SUNY Maritime College1.23-0.57vs Predicted
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10University of Buffalo0.75-0.12vs Predicted
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11Drexel University-0.42+1.83vs Predicted
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12SUNY Stony Brook0.90-2.49vs Predicted
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13University of Maryland/Baltimore County-0.48+0.16vs Predicted
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14Virginia Tech1.34-5.94vs Predicted
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15U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.02-8.80vs Predicted
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16St. Mary's College of Maryland2.31-10.93vs Predicted
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17University of Maryland0.86-7.53vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.39Hampton University3.020.2%1st Place
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4.44Old Dominion University2.500.2%1st Place
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8.49SUNY Maritime College1.190.0%1st Place
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5.44Christopher Newport University2.210.1%1st Place
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7.71Columbia University1.470.1%1st Place
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4.44Old Dominion University2.500.2%1st Place
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7.92Stevens Institute of Technology1.400.0%1st Place
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8.06Virginia Tech1.340.1%1st Place
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8.43SUNY Maritime College1.230.0%1st Place
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9.88University of Buffalo0.750.0%1st Place
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12.83Drexel University-0.420.0%1st Place
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9.51SUNY Stony Brook0.900.0%1st Place
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13.16University of Maryland/Baltimore County-0.480.0%1st Place
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8.06Virginia Tech1.340.1%1st Place
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6.2U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.020.1%1st Place
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5.07St. Mary's College of Maryland2.310.1%1st Place
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9.47University of Maryland0.860.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maximilian Kuester | 24.1% | 20.8% | 16.1% | 11.9% | 9.4% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alec Chicoine | 16.0% | 14.8% | 12.0% | 13.8% | 10.8% | 10.5% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Hall | 4.1% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 10.4% | 9.0% | 5.6% | 1.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Austin Powers | 10.2% | 11.3% | 11.3% | 10.4% | 11.4% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Paolo Bertolotti | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 10.1% | 10.4% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 3.5% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alec Chicoine | 16.0% | 14.8% | 12.0% | 13.8% | 10.8% | 10.5% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Julian Fraize | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 10.9% | 7.9% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Raymond Bay | 5.6% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 3.8% | 1.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Keegan | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 11.4% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 4.7% | 1.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rory Mess | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 12.9% | 13.5% | 10.8% | 4.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Abigail Proko | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 8.9% | 27.3% | 35.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Manfredi | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 12.7% | 10.2% | 5.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Thompson | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 8.0% | 10.9% | 21.3% | 43.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Raymond Bay | 5.6% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 3.8% | 1.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Austin Neuman | 7.9% | 7.7% | 10.8% | 7.8% | 10.3% | 10.1% | 8.3% | 10.4% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ellie Ungar | 11.0% | 11.4% | 15.1% | 10.5% | 11.2% | 10.1% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Thomas | 1.9% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 13.7% | 13.2% | 8.1% | 4.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.