← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Old Dominion University2.50+3.45vs Predicted
-
2Virginia Tech1.34+5.65vs Predicted
-
3Columbia University1.47+4.41vs Predicted
-
4Old Dominion University2.50+0.45vs Predicted
-
5Christopher Newport University2.21+0.32vs Predicted
-
6Hampton University3.02-2.62vs Predicted
-
7U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.02-1.19vs Predicted
-
8University of Maryland-0.33+4.29vs Predicted
-
9Virginia Tech1.34-1.35vs Predicted
-
10St. Mary's College of Maryland2.31-4.96vs Predicted
-
11SUNY Maritime College1.23-2.84vs Predicted
-
12Stevens Institute of Technology1.40-4.23vs Predicted
-
13SUNY Maritime College1.19-4.59vs Predicted
-
14Drexel University-0.42-1.25vs Predicted
-
15SUNY Stony Brook0.90-5.62vs Predicted
-
16University of Buffalo0.75-6.40vs Predicted
-
17University of Maryland/Baltimore County-0.48-4.43vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.45Old Dominion University2.500.1%1st Place
-
7.65Virginia Tech1.340.0%1st Place
-
7.41Columbia University1.470.1%1st Place
-
4.45Old Dominion University2.500.1%1st Place
-
5.32Christopher Newport University2.210.1%1st Place
-
3.38Hampton University3.020.2%1st Place
-
5.81U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.020.1%1st Place
-
12.29University of Maryland-0.330.0%1st Place
-
7.65Virginia Tech1.340.0%1st Place
-
5.04St. Mary's College of Maryland2.310.1%1st Place
-
8.16SUNY Maritime College1.230.0%1st Place
-
7.77Stevens Institute of Technology1.400.0%1st Place
-
8.41SUNY Maritime College1.190.0%1st Place
-
12.75Drexel University-0.420.0%1st Place
-
9.38SUNY Stony Brook0.900.0%1st Place
-
9.6University of Buffalo0.750.0%1st Place
-
12.57University of Maryland/Baltimore County-0.480.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alec Chicoine | 14.9% | 16.1% | 13.2% | 12.7% | 11.0% | 9.6% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Raymond Bay | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 10.7% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 2.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Paolo Bertolotti | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 11.5% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 7.4% | 4.0% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alec Chicoine | 14.9% | 16.1% | 13.2% | 12.7% | 11.0% | 9.6% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Austin Powers | 11.5% | 10.9% | 11.4% | 9.6% | 12.1% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Maximilian Kuester | 23.9% | 19.0% | 18.3% | 12.4% | 9.4% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Austin Neuman | 8.2% | 9.9% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 10.6% | 12.1% | 11.6% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Stoner | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 8.9% | 14.6% | 23.7% | 26.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Raymond Bay | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 10.7% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 2.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ellie Ungar | 11.8% | 13.0% | 11.9% | 12.5% | 10.4% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Keegan | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 12.0% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 6.7% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Julian Fraize | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 8.3% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Hall | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 2.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Abigail Proko | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 15.9% | 24.1% | 31.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Manfredi | 1.9% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 9.9% | 13.0% | 13.9% | 10.3% | 7.0% | 2.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rory Mess | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 14.5% | 12.9% | 8.4% | 3.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Thompson | 0.7% | 0.4% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 8.0% | 14.7% | 22.2% | 31.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.