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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Virginia Tech1.34+6.70vs Predicted
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2Stevens Institute of Technology1.40+5.46vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland2.31+1.90vs Predicted
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4Christopher Newport University2.21+1.30vs Predicted
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5Hampton University3.02-1.64vs Predicted
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6University of Maryland-0.33+6.41vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University2.50-2.51vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University2.50-3.51vs Predicted
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9University of Maryland/Baltimore County-0.48+3.73vs Predicted
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10University of Buffalo0.75-0.38vs Predicted
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11U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.02-5.11vs Predicted
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12Columbia University1.47-4.52vs Predicted
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13Virginia Tech1.34-5.30vs Predicted
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14SUNY Maritime College1.23-5.53vs Predicted
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15SUNY Maritime College1.19-6.50vs Predicted
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16Drexel University-0.42-3.49vs Predicted
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17SUNY Stony Brook0.90-7.84vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.7Virginia Tech1.340.1%1st Place
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7.46Stevens Institute of Technology1.400.1%1st Place
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4.9St. Mary's College of Maryland2.310.1%1st Place
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5.3Christopher Newport University2.210.1%1st Place
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3.36Hampton University3.020.2%1st Place
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12.41University of Maryland-0.330.0%1st Place
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4.49Old Dominion University2.500.2%1st Place
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4.49Old Dominion University2.500.2%1st Place
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12.73University of Maryland/Baltimore County-0.480.0%1st Place
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9.62University of Buffalo0.750.0%1st Place
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5.89U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.020.1%1st Place
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7.48Columbia University1.470.0%1st Place
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7.7Virginia Tech1.340.1%1st Place
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8.47SUNY Maritime College1.230.0%1st Place
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8.5SUNY Maritime College1.190.0%1st Place
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12.51Drexel University-0.420.0%1st Place
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9.16SUNY Stony Brook0.900.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raymond Bay | 5.4% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 10.6% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Julian Fraize | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ellie Ungar | 11.9% | 14.0% | 12.2% | 11.4% | 11.2% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Austin Powers | 11.3% | 11.1% | 11.7% | 10.9% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 11.0% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Maximilian Kuester | 23.8% | 21.4% | 15.3% | 12.4% | 9.8% | 7.2% | 4.5% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Stoner | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 16.2% | 23.4% | 27.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alec Chicoine | 15.5% | 13.8% | 13.6% | 13.2% | 10.7% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alec Chicoine | 15.5% | 13.8% | 13.6% | 13.2% | 10.7% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Thompson | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 8.2% | 14.0% | 21.3% | 35.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rory Mess | 2.5% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 11.8% | 10.8% | 11.3% | 12.5% | 9.8% | 2.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Austin Neuman | 8.4% | 8.5% | 10.5% | 9.5% | 10.3% | 11.1% | 11.0% | 9.1% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Paolo Bertolotti | 4.5% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Raymond Bay | 5.4% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 10.6% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Keegan | 3.5% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 12.0% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Hall | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 11.2% | 11.5% | 10.1% | 8.3% | 4.0% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Abigail Proko | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 6.4% | 9.1% | 13.9% | 23.2% | 29.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Manfredi | 2.7% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 10.6% | 13.2% | 11.3% | 7.1% | 1.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.