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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Virginia Tech-0.06+8.05vs Predicted
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2Hampton University2.26+1.77vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University2.89-0.34vs Predicted
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4SUNY Maritime College2.05+0.15vs Predicted
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5Christopher Newport University1.71-0.19vs Predicted
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6Columbia University1.65-1.04vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland1.02-0.59vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University2.89-5.34vs Predicted
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9SUNY Maritime College0.19-0.56vs Predicted
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10Stevens Institute of Technology1.15-3.79vs Predicted
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11University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.18+0.23vs Predicted
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12SUNY Stony Brook-0.28-2.55vs Predicted
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13Virginia Tech-0.06-3.95vs Predicted
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14Drexel University-0.19-4.52vs Predicted
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15University of Maryland-0.60-4.63vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.05Virginia Tech-0.060.0%1st Place
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3.77Hampton University2.260.2%1st Place
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2.66Old Dominion University2.890.3%1st Place
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4.15SUNY Maritime College2.050.1%1st Place
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4.81Christopher Newport University1.710.1%1st Place
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4.96Columbia University1.650.1%1st Place
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6.41St. Mary's College of Maryland1.020.1%1st Place
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2.66Old Dominion University2.890.3%1st Place
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8.44SUNY Maritime College0.190.0%1st Place
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6.21Stevens Institute of Technology1.150.1%1st Place
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11.23University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.180.0%1st Place
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9.45SUNY Stony Brook-0.280.0%1st Place
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9.05Virginia Tech-0.060.0%1st Place
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9.48Drexel University-0.190.0%1st Place
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10.37University of Maryland-0.600.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nathan Gibson | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 8.2% | 10.4% | 11.5% | 14.1% | 17.1% | 13.5% | 7.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Luca Taglialegne | 16.1% | 17.7% | 17.5% | 15.4% | 12.0% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Elkin | 32.4% | 23.6% | 16.1% | 12.3% | 8.9% | 4.2% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Juan Lejarraga | 12.9% | 15.2% | 16.7% | 13.5% | 13.5% | 11.1% | 8.6% | 4.9% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Amanda Attardi | 10.3% | 11.7% | 12.8% | 13.0% | 13.2% | 11.6% | 11.7% | 7.5% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adam DeVita | 9.1% | 11.2% | 11.6% | 14.9% | 11.9% | 12.2% | 11.6% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kate Bjerregaard | 6.5% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 12.5% | 11.8% | 13.9% | 10.4% | 9.4% | 4.1% | 1.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Elkin | 32.4% | 23.6% | 16.1% | 12.3% | 8.9% | 4.2% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Olga Anna Papaeconomou | 1.9% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 8.9% | 11.4% | 14.8% | 15.7% | 11.7% | 10.5% | 4.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew O'Brien | 5.2% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 12.0% | 13.0% | 13.3% | 12.9% | 10.3% | 7.0% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Danyte Reisinger | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 11.4% | 17.3% | 45.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Sander | 1.4% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 9.6% | 11.6% | 14.2% | 16.7% | 16.3% | 10.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Gibson | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 8.2% | 10.4% | 11.5% | 14.1% | 17.1% | 13.5% | 7.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Barrett Adams | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 8.4% | 11.4% | 13.0% | 17.2% | 16.6% | 11.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jackson Dunitz | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 6.6% | 9.4% | 11.5% | 16.7% | 21.9% | 21.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.