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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Old Dominion University2.89+1.63vs Predicted
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2SUNY Maritime College2.05+2.14vs Predicted
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3Stevens Institute of Technology1.15+3.26vs Predicted
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4Christopher Newport University1.71+0.89vs Predicted
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5Hampton University2.26-1.30vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University2.89-3.37vs Predicted
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7SUNY Maritime College0.19+1.41vs Predicted
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8Virginia Tech-0.06+0.97vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland1.02-2.58vs Predicted
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10SUNY Stony Brook-0.28-0.42vs Predicted
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11Columbia University1.65-5.97vs Predicted
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12University of Maryland-0.60-1.91vs Predicted
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13University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.18-1.64vs Predicted
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14Drexel University-0.19-4.48vs Predicted
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15Virginia Tech-0.06-6.03vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.63Old Dominion University2.890.3%1st Place
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4.14SUNY Maritime College2.050.1%1st Place
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6.26Stevens Institute of Technology1.150.0%1st Place
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4.89Christopher Newport University1.710.1%1st Place
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3.7Hampton University2.260.2%1st Place
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2.63Old Dominion University2.890.3%1st Place
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8.41SUNY Maritime College0.190.0%1st Place
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8.97Virginia Tech-0.060.0%1st Place
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6.42St. Mary's College of Maryland1.020.1%1st Place
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9.58SUNY Stony Brook-0.280.0%1st Place
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5.03Columbia University1.650.1%1st Place
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10.09University of Maryland-0.600.0%1st Place
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11.36University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.180.0%1st Place
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9.52Drexel University-0.190.0%1st Place
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8.97Virginia Tech-0.060.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Elkin | 32.9% | 21.9% | 18.0% | 13.2% | 7.7% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Juan Lejarraga | 13.4% | 15.1% | 16.4% | 13.2% | 15.2% | 10.3% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew O'Brien | 4.5% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 10.2% | 10.6% | 12.1% | 13.7% | 13.9% | 10.7% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Amanda Attardi | 9.9% | 10.4% | 12.0% | 14.1% | 13.7% | 12.8% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 5.2% | 2.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Luca Taglialegne | 17.5% | 19.5% | 14.8% | 14.4% | 12.6% | 8.9% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Elkin | 32.9% | 21.9% | 18.0% | 13.2% | 7.7% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Olga Anna Papaeconomou | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 10.7% | 15.0% | 14.9% | 12.2% | 9.6% | 4.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Gibson | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 14.9% | 16.8% | 14.5% | 6.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kate Bjerregaard | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 11.8% | 13.8% | 13.6% | 11.3% | 7.7% | 4.7% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Sander | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 11.7% | 14.0% | 16.1% | 17.3% | 13.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adam DeVita | 9.4% | 10.6% | 12.6% | 12.6% | 11.8% | 12.4% | 11.7% | 8.4% | 5.6% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jackson Dunitz | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 13.9% | 17.1% | 19.8% | 17.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Danyte Reisinger | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.6% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 10.1% | 18.9% | 46.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Barrett Adams | 1.3% | 1.2% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 12.2% | 13.5% | 17.2% | 16.3% | 11.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Gibson | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 14.9% | 16.8% | 14.5% | 6.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.