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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Old Dominion University2.89+1.73vs Predicted
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2Old Dominion University2.89+0.73vs Predicted
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3SUNY Maritime College2.05+1.31vs Predicted
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4Hampton University2.26-0.16vs Predicted
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5Stevens Institute of Technology1.15+1.51vs Predicted
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6Christopher Newport University1.71-0.94vs Predicted
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7Virginia Tech-0.06+2.49vs Predicted
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8University of Maryland/Baltimore County0.10+0.99vs Predicted
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9Drexel University0.45-0.79vs Predicted
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10Columbia University1.65-4.73vs Predicted
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11St. Mary's College of Maryland1.02-4.20vs Predicted
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12SUNY Maritime College0.19-3.22vs Predicted
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13SUNY Stony Brook-0.28-2.81vs Predicted
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14Virginia Tech-0.06-4.51vs Predicted
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15University of Maryland-0.60-4.18vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.73Old Dominion University2.890.3%1st Place
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2.73Old Dominion University2.890.3%1st Place
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4.31SUNY Maritime College2.050.1%1st Place
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3.84Hampton University2.260.2%1st Place
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6.51Stevens Institute of Technology1.150.1%1st Place
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5.06Christopher Newport University1.710.1%1st Place
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9.49Virginia Tech-0.060.0%1st Place
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8.99University of Maryland/Baltimore County0.100.0%1st Place
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8.21Drexel University0.450.0%1st Place
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5.27Columbia University1.650.1%1st Place
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6.8St. Mary's College of Maryland1.020.1%1st Place
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8.78SUNY Maritime College0.190.0%1st Place
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10.19SUNY Stony Brook-0.280.0%1st Place
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9.49Virginia Tech-0.060.0%1st Place
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10.82University of Maryland-0.600.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Elkin | 31.3% | 22.7% | 17.7% | 12.9% | 7.6% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Elkin | 31.3% | 22.7% | 17.7% | 12.9% | 7.6% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Juan Lejarraga | 12.1% | 14.7% | 16.0% | 13.5% | 13.2% | 11.8% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Luca Taglialegne | 16.5% | 18.1% | 16.4% | 12.6% | 12.6% | 10.1% | 6.6% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew O'Brien | 5.1% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 9.2% | 11.4% | 10.7% | 11.1% | 12.0% | 11.7% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Amanda Attardi | 10.0% | 10.2% | 13.7% | 11.7% | 10.8% | 11.9% | 12.1% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Gibson | 1.3% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 10.1% | 14.5% | 14.0% | 17.7% | 13.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Haksteen | 3.0% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 10.1% | 13.4% | 16.5% | 14.2% | 9.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Ellis | 2.3% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 12.0% | 13.3% | 13.0% | 11.9% | 9.7% | 4.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adam DeVita | 9.4% | 9.3% | 11.4% | 12.0% | 12.2% | 11.7% | 10.9% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kate Bjerregaard | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 11.5% | 11.0% | 12.2% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 6.4% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Olga Anna Papaeconomou | 1.6% | 1.8% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 12.0% | 14.2% | 13.5% | 12.6% | 7.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Sander | 0.9% | 0.9% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 10.2% | 14.0% | 19.9% | 24.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Gibson | 1.3% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 10.1% | 14.5% | 14.0% | 17.7% | 13.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jackson Dunitz | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 12.9% | 17.6% | 36.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.