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📊 Prediction Accuracy
12.5%
Within 2 Positions
5.9
Avg Position Diff
24
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University3.61+6.09vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.80+4.47vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College3.62+3.13vs Predicted
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5Tufts University3.37+3.45vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.92+4.13vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College2.70+4.52vs Predicted
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8Harvard University2.41+4.82vs Predicted
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9Amherst College2.01+5.86vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College2.64+1.33vs Predicted
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11Middlebury College1.87+4.29vs Predicted
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12University of Connecticut-0.21+10.20vs Predicted
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13Salve Regina University2.05+1.49vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.65-2.09vs Predicted
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15Brandeis University1.25+3.00vs Predicted
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16Northeastern University3.26-7.23vs Predicted
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17Bates College1.67-0.54vs Predicted
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18Maine Maritime Academy2.81-7.30vs Predicted
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19Brown University3.40-11.01vs Predicted
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20University of Rhode Island3.62-13.12vs Predicted
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22McGill University1.60-5.59vs Predicted
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23Boston University3.35-14.66vs Predicted
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24University of New Hampshire1.65-7.60vs Predicted
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25Williams College1.47-7.93vs Predicted
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26Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.95-6.71vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.09Roger Williams University3.610.1%1st Place
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6.47Yale University3.800.1%1st Place
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7.13Dartmouth College3.620.1%1st Place
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8.45Tufts University3.370.1%1st Place
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10.13U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.920.1%1st Place
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11.52Bowdoin College2.700.0%1st Place
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12.82Harvard University2.410.0%1st Place
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14.86Amherst College2.010.0%1st Place
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11.33Connecticut College2.640.0%1st Place
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15.29Middlebury College1.870.0%1st Place
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22.2University of Connecticut-0.210.0%1st Place
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14.49Salve Regina University2.050.0%1st Place
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11.91Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.650.0%1st Place
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18.0Brandeis University1.250.0%1st Place
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8.77Northeastern University3.260.1%1st Place
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16.46Bates College1.670.0%1st Place
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10.7Maine Maritime Academy2.810.0%1st Place
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7.99Brown University3.400.1%1st Place
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6.88University of Rhode Island3.620.1%1st Place
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16.41McGill University1.600.0%1st Place
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8.34Boston University3.350.0%1st Place
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16.4University of New Hampshire1.650.0%1st Place
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17.07Williams College1.470.0%1st Place
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19.29Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.950.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cameron Pimentel | 9.7% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Segerblom | 9.9% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bernie Roesler | 9.1% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Hutchings | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rian Bareuther | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 4.4% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Billy Rohman | 3.7% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Ryan Byrne | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| Tyler Black | 1.9% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 1.2% |
| Timothy Clark | 2.7% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Benjamin Brown | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 1.3% |
| Catherine Stavola | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 12.9% | 62.2% |
| Stephen Byrne | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 0.6% |
| Steven Drapcho | 3.4% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Jared Dunn | 0.9% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 12.1% | 14.6% | 6.5% |
| Maarten Eenkema Van Dijk | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Cason | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 2.4% |
| Christopher Poole | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Nikolas Osvalds | 8.9% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Carmody | 9.8% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Leif Macdonald | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 8.4% | 4.0% |
| Matt Johnson | 4.7% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Edwards | 1.2% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 2.8% |
| Timothy Lorenzen | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 11.0% | 12.6% | 4.0% |
| Robert Pierce | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 13.9% | 18.5% | 14.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.