Race 9A

cedarfest

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

81.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Jack Rutherford 6.8% 8.3% 10.4% 11.2% 13.5% 13.6% 13.2% 11.6% 8.1% 2.9% 0.5%
Marco Constantini 10.8% 13.6% 16.7% 17.1% 13.8% 12.8% 7.3% 5.0% 2.2% 0.7% 0.1%
Arden Carleton 43.2% 25.4% 16.6% 8.8% 4.2% 1.2% 0.6% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Emily Williams 10.2% 13.9% 13.7% 14.8% 14.0% 13.1% 9.8% 6.3% 3.4% 0.9% 0.1%
Alex Day 13.1% 17.2% 15.5% 18.1% 14.8% 9.2% 6.9% 3.5% 1.7% 0.2% 0.0%
Keegan Aerts 3.0% 3.6% 5.2% 4.8% 6.9% 9.7% 11.0% 15.7% 17.6% 17.2% 5.2%
Keegan Beyer 5.2% 6.7% 7.9% 8.8% 10.2% 13.9% 15.1% 14.1% 10.3% 6.5% 1.3%
Kassidy Kennedy 3.6% 4.9% 6.6% 7.8% 9.8% 12.3% 13.7% 14.9% 14.0% 9.8% 2.6%
George Prokop 2.1% 3.5% 3.9% 5.3% 6.9% 7.2% 12.5% 14.8% 19.8% 18.0% 5.9%
Tiegan Witte 1.6% 2.2% 2.5% 2.6% 4.5% 5.2% 7.6% 10.4% 16.7% 30.3% 16.4%
Adam Bryan 0.2% 0.8% 1.1% 0.9% 1.6% 1.7% 2.3% 3.7% 6.3% 13.6% 68.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.