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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hampton University2.26+2.89vs Predicted
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2Old Dominion University2.89+0.70vs Predicted
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3Virginia Tech-0.06+6.62vs Predicted
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4SUNY Maritime College2.05+0.32vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University2.89-2.30vs Predicted
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6Columbia University1.65-0.84vs Predicted
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7Christopher Newport University1.71-1.94vs Predicted
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8Stevens Institute of Technology1.15-1.62vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland1.02-2.26vs Predicted
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10Drexel University0.45-1.66vs Predicted
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11University of Maryland/Baltimore County0.10-1.87vs Predicted
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12SUNY Maritime College0.19-3.26vs Predicted
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13SUNY Stony Brook-0.28-2.89vs Predicted
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14Virginia Tech-0.06-4.38vs Predicted
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15University of Maryland-0.60-4.19vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.89Hampton University2.260.2%1st Place
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2.7Old Dominion University2.890.3%1st Place
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9.62Virginia Tech-0.060.0%1st Place
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4.32SUNY Maritime College2.050.1%1st Place
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2.7Old Dominion University2.890.3%1st Place
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5.16Columbia University1.650.1%1st Place
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5.06Christopher Newport University1.710.1%1st Place
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6.38Stevens Institute of Technology1.150.1%1st Place
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6.74St. Mary's College of Maryland1.020.0%1st Place
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8.34Drexel University0.450.0%1st Place
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9.13University of Maryland/Baltimore County0.100.0%1st Place
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8.74SUNY Maritime College0.190.0%1st Place
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10.11SUNY Stony Brook-0.280.0%1st Place
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9.62Virginia Tech-0.060.0%1st Place
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10.81University of Maryland-0.600.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luca Taglialegne | 16.5% | 17.0% | 15.6% | 14.7% | 11.9% | 10.8% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Elkin | 31.1% | 24.4% | 18.2% | 10.8% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Gibson | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 12.0% | 17.0% | 17.7% | 13.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Juan Lejarraga | 12.6% | 13.8% | 15.7% | 14.9% | 11.2% | 11.7% | 9.4% | 5.9% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Elkin | 31.1% | 24.4% | 18.2% | 10.8% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adam DeVita | 9.4% | 10.1% | 12.1% | 12.6% | 11.3% | 11.6% | 12.0% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Amanda Attardi | 9.7% | 10.5% | 11.6% | 12.8% | 13.7% | 12.1% | 10.2% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew O'Brien | 7.1% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 9.9% | 10.5% | 13.2% | 11.2% | 10.3% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 2.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kate Bjerregaard | 4.9% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 7.5% | 9.9% | 11.8% | 11.4% | 12.0% | 12.1% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Ellis | 2.3% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 8.7% | 9.9% | 12.8% | 14.0% | 12.5% | 9.9% | 6.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Haksteen | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 10.5% | 12.0% | 12.5% | 13.6% | 16.3% | 10.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Olga Anna Papaeconomou | 1.6% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 12.2% | 14.3% | 13.3% | 12.2% | 7.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Sander | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 14.1% | 19.2% | 23.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Gibson | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 12.0% | 17.0% | 17.7% | 13.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jackson Dunitz | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 9.5% | 12.9% | 17.9% | 36.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.