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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Old Dominion University2.89+1.71vs Predicted
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2Christopher Newport University1.82+2.87vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University2.89-0.29vs Predicted
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4SUNY Maritime College2.05+0.32vs Predicted
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5Hampton University2.26-1.13vs Predicted
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6Columbia University1.65-0.80vs Predicted
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7SUNY Stony Brook-0.28+3.04vs Predicted
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8Stevens Institute of Technology1.15-1.61vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland1.02-2.20vs Predicted
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10Virginia Tech-0.06-0.42vs Predicted
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11SUNY Maritime College0.19-2.08vs Predicted
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12University of Maryland/Baltimore County0.10-3.03vs Predicted
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13University of Maryland-0.60-2.20vs Predicted
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14Drexel University0.45-5.49vs Predicted
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15Virginia Tech-0.06-5.42vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.71Old Dominion University2.890.3%1st Place
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4.87Christopher Newport University1.820.1%1st Place
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2.71Old Dominion University2.890.3%1st Place
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4.32SUNY Maritime College2.050.1%1st Place
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3.87Hampton University2.260.2%1st Place
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5.2Columbia University1.650.1%1st Place
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10.04SUNY Stony Brook-0.280.0%1st Place
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6.39Stevens Institute of Technology1.150.1%1st Place
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6.8St. Mary's College of Maryland1.020.0%1st Place
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9.58Virginia Tech-0.060.0%1st Place
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8.92SUNY Maritime College0.190.0%1st Place
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8.97University of Maryland/Baltimore County0.100.0%1st Place
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10.8University of Maryland-0.600.0%1st Place
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8.51Drexel University0.450.0%1st Place
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9.58Virginia Tech-0.060.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Elkin | 32.1% | 22.6% | 17.0% | 12.7% | 7.5% | 4.5% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Anders Hudson | 9.7% | 11.5% | 12.4% | 14.1% | 12.3% | 13.2% | 9.9% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Elkin | 32.1% | 22.6% | 17.0% | 12.7% | 7.5% | 4.5% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Juan Lejarraga | 12.4% | 14.5% | 16.6% | 12.6% | 11.6% | 13.1% | 8.7% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Luca Taglialegne | 17.0% | 16.7% | 14.6% | 14.2% | 13.9% | 10.7% | 6.1% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adam DeVita | 9.9% | 9.0% | 12.8% | 11.4% | 11.2% | 11.7% | 12.3% | 9.2% | 6.1% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Sander | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 10.6% | 16.1% | 20.5% | 19.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew O'Brien | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 10.0% | 10.8% | 12.4% | 13.2% | 10.2% | 7.9% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kate Bjerregaard | 4.8% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 11.2% | 11.9% | 12.3% | 12.9% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 3.8% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Gibson | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 9.7% | 12.7% | 15.9% | 16.1% | 16.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Olga Anna Papaeconomou | 1.7% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 9.7% | 10.8% | 14.5% | 13.2% | 13.5% | 10.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Haksteen | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 12.8% | 14.5% | 13.8% | 13.3% | 8.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jackson Dunitz | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 8.7% | 12.2% | 18.6% | 36.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Ellis | 1.8% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 12.4% | 14.5% | 14.1% | 10.0% | 5.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Gibson | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 9.7% | 12.7% | 15.9% | 16.1% | 16.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.