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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Old Dominion University2.89+1.70vs Predicted
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2Virginia Tech-0.06+7.54vs Predicted
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3SUNY Maritime College2.05+1.39vs Predicted
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4Christopher Newport University1.82+0.87vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland1.02+1.68vs Predicted
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6Hampton University2.26-2.15vs Predicted
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7Columbia University1.65-1.83vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University2.89-5.30vs Predicted
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9Stevens Institute of Technology1.15-2.51vs Predicted
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10Drexel University0.45-1.60vs Predicted
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11SUNY Stony Brook-0.28-0.99vs Predicted
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12SUNY Maritime College0.19-3.24vs Predicted
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13University of Maryland-0.60-2.17vs Predicted
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14University of Maryland/Baltimore County0.10-4.67vs Predicted
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15Virginia Tech-0.06-5.46vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.7Old Dominion University2.890.3%1st Place
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9.54Virginia Tech-0.060.0%1st Place
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4.39SUNY Maritime College2.050.1%1st Place
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4.87Christopher Newport University1.820.1%1st Place
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6.68St. Mary's College of Maryland1.020.1%1st Place
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3.85Hampton University2.260.2%1st Place
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5.17Columbia University1.650.1%1st Place
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2.7Old Dominion University2.890.3%1st Place
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6.49Stevens Institute of Technology1.150.0%1st Place
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8.4Drexel University0.450.0%1st Place
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10.01SUNY Stony Brook-0.280.0%1st Place
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8.76SUNY Maritime College0.190.0%1st Place
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10.83University of Maryland-0.600.0%1st Place
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9.33University of Maryland/Baltimore County0.100.0%1st Place
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9.54Virginia Tech-0.060.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Elkin | 31.9% | 23.4% | 15.5% | 14.1% | 7.7% | 4.2% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Gibson | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 10.2% | 11.8% | 16.2% | 18.9% | 13.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Juan Lejarraga | 12.0% | 13.3% | 15.1% | 14.6% | 13.3% | 11.4% | 9.2% | 5.5% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Anders Hudson | 10.0% | 10.9% | 13.9% | 13.0% | 12.5% | 12.6% | 9.9% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kate Bjerregaard | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 12.0% | 11.7% | 11.9% | 9.0% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Luca Taglialegne | 16.9% | 16.9% | 16.8% | 13.7% | 13.0% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adam DeVita | 9.9% | 10.4% | 11.3% | 9.9% | 13.1% | 14.0% | 10.1% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Elkin | 31.9% | 23.4% | 15.5% | 14.1% | 7.7% | 4.2% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew O'Brien | 4.6% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 12.1% | 13.0% | 10.3% | 12.8% | 8.1% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Ellis | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 11.9% | 12.7% | 13.7% | 12.3% | 10.3% | 6.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Sander | 1.1% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 8.5% | 11.0% | 15.1% | 19.1% | 21.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Olga Anna Papaeconomou | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 9.2% | 11.3% | 10.8% | 14.4% | 12.8% | 12.6% | 7.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jackson Dunitz | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 8.6% | 13.4% | 17.9% | 36.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Haksteen | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 10.8% | 10.0% | 14.1% | 15.8% | 14.0% | 12.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Gibson | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 10.2% | 11.8% | 16.2% | 18.9% | 13.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.