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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Virginia Tech-0.06+8.53vs Predicted
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2Hampton University2.26+1.90vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University2.89-0.26vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University2.89-1.26vs Predicted
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5Christopher Newport University1.82-0.16vs Predicted
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6Columbia University1.65-0.85vs Predicted
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7Stevens Institute of Technology1.15-0.53vs Predicted
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8SUNY Maritime College2.05-3.75vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland1.02-2.22vs Predicted
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10Drexel University0.45-1.66vs Predicted
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11Virginia Tech-0.06-1.47vs Predicted
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12University of Maryland/Baltimore County0.10-2.89vs Predicted
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13University of Maryland-0.60-2.38vs Predicted
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14SUNY Maritime College0.19-4.95vs Predicted
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15SUNY Stony Brook-0.28-4.79vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.53Virginia Tech-0.060.0%1st Place
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3.9Hampton University2.260.2%1st Place
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2.74Old Dominion University2.890.3%1st Place
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2.74Old Dominion University2.890.3%1st Place
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4.84Christopher Newport University1.820.1%1st Place
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5.15Columbia University1.650.1%1st Place
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6.47Stevens Institute of Technology1.150.1%1st Place
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4.25SUNY Maritime College2.050.1%1st Place
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6.78St. Mary's College of Maryland1.020.0%1st Place
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8.34Drexel University0.450.0%1st Place
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9.53Virginia Tech-0.060.0%1st Place
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9.11University of Maryland/Baltimore County0.100.0%1st Place
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10.62University of Maryland-0.600.0%1st Place
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9.05SUNY Maritime College0.190.0%1st Place
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10.21SUNY Stony Brook-0.280.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nathan Gibson | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 10.9% | 11.4% | 14.9% | 18.2% | 14.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Luca Taglialegne | 16.3% | 16.1% | 17.0% | 15.2% | 12.0% | 8.9% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Elkin | 31.7% | 22.2% | 16.0% | 13.9% | 8.9% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Elkin | 31.7% | 22.2% | 16.0% | 13.9% | 8.9% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Anders Hudson | 10.0% | 12.4% | 12.9% | 11.8% | 13.5% | 12.4% | 9.9% | 8.0% | 5.2% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adam DeVita | 9.7% | 10.3% | 11.3% | 12.3% | 12.6% | 11.1% | 11.2% | 9.9% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew O'Brien | 5.8% | 4.8% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 13.1% | 10.8% | 13.2% | 7.4% | 10.2% | 5.7% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Juan Lejarraga | 13.7% | 16.1% | 13.0% | 13.2% | 13.7% | 10.8% | 9.7% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kate Bjerregaard | 3.8% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 11.2% | 11.6% | 11.5% | 12.3% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 3.1% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Ellis | 2.4% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 14.0% | 11.3% | 14.5% | 9.3% | 5.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Gibson | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 10.9% | 11.4% | 14.9% | 18.2% | 14.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Haksteen | 1.8% | 2.1% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 9.2% | 12.2% | 14.2% | 13.5% | 12.7% | 12.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jackson Dunitz | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 10.1% | 12.1% | 20.3% | 31.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Olga Anna Papaeconomou | 1.4% | 1.6% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 14.8% | 13.5% | 14.9% | 9.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Sander | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 10.0% | 10.7% | 14.3% | 17.9% | 24.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.