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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hampton University2.26+2.93vs Predicted
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2Old Dominion University2.89+0.67vs Predicted
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3Christopher Newport University1.82+1.90vs Predicted
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4Virginia Tech-0.06+5.58vs Predicted
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5Stevens Institute of Technology1.15+1.42vs Predicted
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6SUNY Maritime College2.05-1.72vs Predicted
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7SUNY Stony Brook-0.28+2.91vs Predicted
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8University of Maryland-0.60+2.67vs Predicted
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9Old Dominion University2.89-6.33vs Predicted
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10Columbia University1.65-4.75vs Predicted
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11Virginia Tech-0.06-1.42vs Predicted
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12Drexel University0.45-3.70vs Predicted
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13SUNY Maritime College0.19-4.18vs Predicted
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14St. Mary's College of Maryland1.02-7.04vs Predicted
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15University of Maryland/Baltimore County0.10-5.68vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.93Hampton University2.260.2%1st Place
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2.67Old Dominion University2.890.3%1st Place
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4.9Christopher Newport University1.820.1%1st Place
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9.58Virginia Tech-0.060.0%1st Place
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6.42Stevens Institute of Technology1.150.1%1st Place
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4.28SUNY Maritime College2.050.1%1st Place
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9.91SUNY Stony Brook-0.280.0%1st Place
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10.67University of Maryland-0.600.0%1st Place
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2.67Old Dominion University2.890.3%1st Place
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5.25Columbia University1.650.1%1st Place
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9.58Virginia Tech-0.060.0%1st Place
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8.3Drexel University0.450.0%1st Place
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8.82SUNY Maritime College0.190.0%1st Place
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6.96St. Mary's College of Maryland1.020.0%1st Place
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9.32University of Maryland/Baltimore County0.100.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luca Taglialegne | 15.8% | 16.3% | 17.3% | 14.1% | 12.4% | 9.3% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Elkin | 31.5% | 24.9% | 17.2% | 11.3% | 7.4% | 4.6% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Anders Hudson | 9.2% | 12.3% | 12.6% | 13.1% | 11.7% | 13.5% | 10.6% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Gibson | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 11.2% | 18.0% | 14.7% | 16.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew O'Brien | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 11.0% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 12.4% | 11.3% | 10.8% | 8.3% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Juan Lejarraga | 14.1% | 14.7% | 14.3% | 13.6% | 12.9% | 10.6% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Sander | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 9.9% | 14.7% | 21.0% | 20.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jackson Dunitz | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 6.9% | 10.0% | 13.0% | 17.2% | 35.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Elkin | 31.5% | 24.9% | 17.2% | 11.3% | 7.4% | 4.6% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adam DeVita | 9.2% | 9.7% | 11.2% | 11.5% | 11.8% | 12.7% | 12.1% | 9.3% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Gibson | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 11.2% | 18.0% | 14.7% | 16.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Ellis | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 7.4% | 10.1% | 10.6% | 12.8% | 12.2% | 11.7% | 10.4% | 6.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Olga Anna Papaeconomou | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 10.2% | 11.3% | 15.9% | 11.8% | 12.7% | 8.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kate Bjerregaard | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 10.3% | 8.9% | 10.7% | 12.7% | 12.6% | 10.1% | 7.0% | 3.8% | 1.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Haksteen | 1.4% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 8.8% | 11.3% | 12.5% | 15.7% | 16.2% | 11.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.