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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Old Dominion University2.89+1.71vs Predicted
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2Old Dominion University2.89+0.71vs Predicted
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3Stevens Institute of Technology1.15+3.35vs Predicted
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4Hampton University2.26-0.18vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland1.02+1.67vs Predicted
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6Christopher Newport University1.82-1.28vs Predicted
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7SUNY Maritime College2.05-2.80vs Predicted
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8Columbia University1.65-2.90vs Predicted
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9Virginia Tech-0.06+0.20vs Predicted
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10University of Maryland-0.60+0.37vs Predicted
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11Drexel University0.45-2.93vs Predicted
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12SUNY Maritime College0.19-3.52vs Predicted
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13SUNY Stony Brook-0.28-3.15vs Predicted
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14University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.18-2.54vs Predicted
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15Virginia Tech-0.06-5.80vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.71Old Dominion University2.890.3%1st Place
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2.71Old Dominion University2.890.3%1st Place
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6.35Stevens Institute of Technology1.150.1%1st Place
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3.82Hampton University2.260.2%1st Place
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6.67St. Mary's College of Maryland1.020.0%1st Place
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4.72Christopher Newport University1.820.1%1st Place
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4.2SUNY Maritime College2.050.1%1st Place
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5.1Columbia University1.650.1%1st Place
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9.2Virginia Tech-0.060.0%1st Place
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10.37University of Maryland-0.600.0%1st Place
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8.07Drexel University0.450.0%1st Place
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8.48SUNY Maritime College0.190.0%1st Place
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9.85SUNY Stony Brook-0.280.0%1st Place
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11.46University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.180.0%1st Place
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9.2Virginia Tech-0.060.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Elkin | 31.2% | 23.9% | 17.0% | 12.5% | 7.9% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Elkin | 31.2% | 23.9% | 17.0% | 12.5% | 7.9% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew O'Brien | 5.8% | 4.9% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 13.0% | 12.1% | 12.5% | 12.1% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Luca Taglialegne | 16.4% | 16.0% | 17.3% | 16.0% | 11.2% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kate Bjerregaard | 4.0% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 10.6% | 8.7% | 13.0% | 12.5% | 12.6% | 9.0% | 6.3% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Anders Hudson | 11.0% | 12.5% | 12.1% | 12.7% | 12.0% | 14.9% | 10.0% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Juan Lejarraga | 13.8% | 14.7% | 15.2% | 15.1% | 12.5% | 10.4% | 7.7% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adam DeVita | 9.4% | 10.6% | 11.8% | 10.2% | 13.0% | 13.3% | 12.1% | 9.8% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 1.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Gibson | 1.3% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 11.8% | 15.1% | 19.1% | 14.7% | 7.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jackson Dunitz | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 7.8% | 10.7% | 15.6% | 24.9% | 21.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Ellis | 2.8% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 14.9% | 12.6% | 12.4% | 12.9% | 7.1% | 3.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Olga Anna Papaeconomou | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 9.1% | 10.9% | 13.8% | 15.1% | 13.7% | 8.5% | 5.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Sander | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 9.9% | 14.8% | 16.2% | 19.5% | 14.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Danyte Reisinger | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 21.5% | 46.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Gibson | 1.3% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 11.8% | 15.1% | 19.1% | 14.7% | 7.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.