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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hampton University2.26+2.87vs Predicted
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2Old Dominion University2.89+0.71vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University2.89-0.29vs Predicted
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4Virginia Tech-0.06+5.63vs Predicted
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5Stevens Institute of Technology1.15+1.54vs Predicted
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6Columbia University1.65-0.82vs Predicted
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7Drexel University0.45+1.26vs Predicted
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8SUNY Maritime College2.05-3.74vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland1.02-2.28vs Predicted
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10Virginia Tech-0.06-0.37vs Predicted
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11SUNY Maritime College0.19-2.00vs Predicted
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12Christopher Newport University1.82-7.17vs Predicted
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13SUNY Stony Brook-0.28-3.11vs Predicted
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14University of Maryland-0.60-3.24vs Predicted
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15University of Maryland/Baltimore County0.10-5.65vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.87Hampton University2.260.2%1st Place
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2.71Old Dominion University2.890.3%1st Place
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2.71Old Dominion University2.890.3%1st Place
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9.63Virginia Tech-0.060.0%1st Place
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6.54Stevens Institute of Technology1.150.0%1st Place
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5.18Columbia University1.650.1%1st Place
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8.26Drexel University0.450.0%1st Place
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4.26SUNY Maritime College2.050.2%1st Place
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6.72St. Mary's College of Maryland1.020.0%1st Place
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9.63Virginia Tech-0.060.0%1st Place
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9.0SUNY Maritime College0.190.0%1st Place
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4.83Christopher Newport University1.820.1%1st Place
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9.89SUNY Stony Brook-0.280.0%1st Place
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10.76University of Maryland-0.600.0%1st Place
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9.35University of Maryland/Baltimore County0.100.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luca Taglialegne | 16.1% | 17.1% | 16.2% | 14.3% | 12.2% | 10.7% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Elkin | 30.4% | 23.7% | 18.2% | 12.4% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Elkin | 30.4% | 23.7% | 18.2% | 12.4% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Gibson | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 10.9% | 14.5% | 14.8% | 18.2% | 13.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew O'Brien | 4.9% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 9.3% | 10.9% | 10.1% | 12.5% | 12.0% | 10.2% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 3.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adam DeVita | 9.1% | 10.9% | 11.8% | 10.9% | 11.7% | 12.7% | 12.4% | 8.2% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Ellis | 2.5% | 2.6% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 10.1% | 14.1% | 12.5% | 13.1% | 8.4% | 6.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Juan Lejarraga | 15.1% | 13.2% | 14.8% | 13.5% | 13.0% | 11.1% | 8.5% | 6.1% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kate Bjerregaard | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 11.6% | 13.0% | 12.4% | 9.3% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Gibson | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 10.9% | 14.5% | 14.8% | 18.2% | 13.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Olga Anna Papaeconomou | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 10.6% | 10.3% | 13.2% | 16.1% | 11.5% | 11.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Anders Hudson | 11.1% | 11.4% | 12.8% | 13.6% | 12.0% | 12.4% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Sander | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 10.8% | 14.7% | 20.2% | 17.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jackson Dunitz | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 11.8% | 17.9% | 36.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Haksteen | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 10.7% | 13.8% | 14.0% | 16.1% | 12.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.