Race 10A

cedarfest

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

90.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Arden Carleton 40.8% 26.9% 15.8% 8.6% 5.3% 2.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Jack Rutherford 6.5% 9.2% 10.0% 12.8% 13.2% 13.7% 13.6% 10.5% 7.4% 2.5% 0.5%
Marco Constantini 12.4% 14.8% 15.9% 15.2% 14.4% 10.5% 8.5% 5.5% 2.1% 0.7% 0.0%
Emily Williams 9.6% 13.6% 15.3% 14.9% 14.3% 12.2% 9.8% 6.2% 2.5% 1.2% 0.2%
Alex Day 14.9% 15.8% 15.9% 16.4% 13.7% 11.1% 7.1% 2.9% 1.8% 0.3% 0.1%
Kassidy Kennedy 4.0% 5.0% 6.3% 7.3% 9.0% 10.3% 14.2% 17.1% 14.9% 9.4% 2.5%
Keegan Beyer 5.1% 5.9% 8.5% 9.3% 9.9% 14.2% 14.5% 14.0% 11.8% 5.5% 1.1%
George Prokop 2.5% 3.5% 4.2% 5.0% 7.6% 9.7% 10.9% 14.0% 19.9% 17.1% 5.6%
Keegan Aerts 2.5% 3.2% 5.3% 6.3% 6.8% 9.7% 11.5% 15.3% 18.3% 17.4% 3.6%
Tiegan Witte 1.2% 1.6% 1.9% 2.9% 4.6% 5.1% 7.0% 10.9% 15.3% 32.2% 17.1%
Adam Bryan 0.5% 0.5% 0.8% 1.1% 1.1% 1.5% 2.3% 3.5% 5.9% 13.6% 69.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.