← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
12.5%
Within 2 Positions
5.1
Avg Position Diff
24
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Roger Williams University3.61+6.29vs Predicted
-
2Tufts University3.37+6.59vs Predicted
-
3U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.92+7.73vs Predicted
-
4Yale University3.80+2.82vs Predicted
-
5Dartmouth College3.62+2.25vs Predicted
-
6Bates College1.67+10.62vs Predicted
-
7Amherst College2.01+7.96vs Predicted
-
8Connecticut College2.64+4.03vs Predicted
-
9Northeastern University3.26-0.38vs Predicted
-
10Brown University3.40-1.59vs Predicted
-
11Middlebury College1.87+4.82vs Predicted
-
12Salve Regina University3.31-3.26vs Predicted
-
13Boston University3.35-4.23vs Predicted
-
14Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.65-2.24vs Predicted
-
16Williams College1.47+1.57vs Predicted
-
17University of Rhode Island3.62-9.79vs Predicted
-
18Maine Maritime Academy2.81-6.87vs Predicted
-
19Harvard University2.41-5.78vs Predicted
-
20Bowdoin College2.70-8.63vs Predicted
-
21Brandeis University1.25-2.95vs Predicted
-
22University of New Hampshire1.65-5.21vs Predicted
-
23Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.95-3.71vs Predicted
-
25University of Connecticut-0.21-2.89vs Predicted
-
26McGill University1.60-9.14vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
7.29Roger Williams University3.610.1%1st Place
-
8.59Tufts University3.370.1%1st Place
-
10.73U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.920.0%1st Place
-
6.82Yale University3.800.1%1st Place
-
7.25Dartmouth College3.620.1%1st Place
-
16.62Bates College1.670.0%1st Place
-
14.96Amherst College2.010.0%1st Place
-
12.03Connecticut College2.640.0%1st Place
-
8.62Northeastern University3.260.1%1st Place
-
8.41Brown University3.400.1%1st Place
-
15.82Middlebury College1.870.0%1st Place
-
8.74Salve Regina University3.310.1%1st Place
-
8.77Boston University3.350.1%1st Place
-
11.76Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.650.0%1st Place
-
17.57Williams College1.470.0%1st Place
-
7.21University of Rhode Island3.620.1%1st Place
-
11.13Maine Maritime Academy2.810.0%1st Place
-
13.22Harvard University2.410.0%1st Place
-
11.37Bowdoin College2.700.0%1st Place
-
18.05Brandeis University1.250.0%1st Place
-
16.79University of New Hampshire1.650.0%1st Place
-
19.29Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.950.0%1st Place
-
22.11University of Connecticut-0.210.0%1st Place
-
16.86McGill University1.600.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cameron Pimentel | 8.1% | 9.8% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Hutchings | 6.5% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Rian Bareuther | 4.0% | 3.3% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Christopher Segerblom | 9.6% | 10.6% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 9.0% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bernie Roesler | 9.2% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Cason | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 7.9% | 4.1% |
| Tyler Black | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 1.5% |
| Timothy Clark | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 6.3% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Maarten Eenkema Van Dijk | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nikolas Osvalds | 7.8% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Brown | 2.0% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 2.2% |
| Matthew Schon | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matt Johnson | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Steven Drapcho | 2.5% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Timothy Lorenzen | 1.1% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 9.4% | 10.9% | 14.6% | 11.6% | 3.5% |
| Matthew Carmody | 8.1% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Poole | 4.9% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Ryan Byrne | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Billy Rohman | 4.5% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Jared Dunn | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 10.6% | 12.7% | 16.1% | 7.3% |
| Christopher Edwards | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 3.3% |
| Robert Pierce | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 10.2% | 15.2% | 18.7% | 13.2% |
| Catherine Stavola | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 4.4% | 6.7% | 12.2% | 61.0% |
| Leif Macdonald | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 8.7% | 10.3% | 10.4% | 7.9% | 10.4% | 3.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.