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📊 Prediction Accuracy
63.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Purdue University-0.51+2.82vs Predicted
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2Western Michigan University-0.73+2.41vs Predicted
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3Michigan State University-0.97+1.60vs Predicted
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4Northern Michigan University-1.51+2.01vs Predicted
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5Grand Valley State University-0.91-0.47vs Predicted
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6Ohio State University-0.97-1.05vs Predicted
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7Miami University-1.08-1.78vs Predicted
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8Hillsdale College-1.74-1.45vs Predicted
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9Michigan State University-2.80-0.26vs Predicted
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10Unknown School-2.34-2.04vs Predicted
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11Saginaw Valley State University-3.11-1.79vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.82Purdue University-0.5118.9%1st Place
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4.41Western Michigan University-0.7313.6%1st Place
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4.6Michigan State University-0.9712.3%1st Place
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6.01Northern Michigan University-1.516.9%1st Place
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4.53Grand Valley State University-0.9113.8%1st Place
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4.95Ohio State University-0.9712.1%1st Place
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5.22Miami University-1.089.9%1st Place
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6.55Hillsdale College-1.745.7%1st Place
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8.74Michigan State University-2.802.0%1st Place
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7.96Unknown School-2.343.4%1st Place
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9.21Saginaw Valley State University-3.111.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joseph Mowrey | 18.9% | 18.2% | 14.9% | 12.2% | 11.4% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Jack Charlton | 13.6% | 14.1% | 14.4% | 13.1% | 11.8% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 7.4% | 4.4% | 2.0% | 0.3% |
| Caden Meyers | 12.3% | 13.2% | 12.4% | 12.8% | 12.9% | 11.2% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| Nathan Sylvester | 6.9% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 10.2% | 12.1% | 13.8% | 10.6% | 8.1% | 2.9% |
| Reed Rossell | 13.8% | 13.2% | 13.3% | 12.0% | 11.2% | 12.2% | 9.7% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| Alexandra Avery | 12.1% | 10.1% | 11.5% | 11.2% | 11.8% | 12.2% | 11.8% | 9.1% | 6.5% | 3.1% | 0.5% |
| Griffin Boothby | 9.9% | 11.0% | 10.4% | 10.4% | 10.8% | 12.4% | 10.7% | 10.8% | 8.8% | 4.0% | 0.7% |
| Alya MacManaway | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 15.2% | 15.2% | 10.1% | 4.6% |
| AUSTIN SJAARDA | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 13.5% | 23.8% | 30.9% |
| Alex Schlotterer | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 17.6% | 21.9% | 16.2% |
| Claire DeVoogd | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 10.9% | 21.7% | 42.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.