Race 1A

charleston-spring-coed

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

28.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Jonathan Lutz 11.9% 12.3% 12.0% 11.0% 9.9% 9.8% 9.1% 6.5% 5.9% 3.3% 3.0% 3.6% 1.1% 0.6%
Christopher Cyr 3.4% 4.8% 5.4% 7.4% 5.5% 6.4% 7.0% 7.3% 8.3% 9.2% 8.8% 10.9% 8.7% 6.9%
Charles Bocklet 4.8% 4.8% 5.7% 6.3% 7.6% 6.0% 6.0% 7.8% 9.3% 9.9% 8.9% 8.6% 8.4% 5.9%
Peter Hidley 2.9% 3.4% 4.9% 6.2% 4.3% 6.5% 6.4% 7.7% 7.5% 10.1% 9.6% 10.0% 11.6% 8.9%
Peter Hogan 13.1% 14.3% 15.4% 11.5% 9.5% 9.8% 7.1% 7.4% 4.5% 2.9% 2.2% 1.6% 0.4% 0.3%
Sarah De Silva 6.6% 6.6% 7.6% 8.6% 8.6% 7.9% 11.5% 8.6% 7.0% 7.5% 7.9% 4.7% 3.9% 3.0%
Marten Kendrick 2.8% 3.3% 4.0% 4.4% 5.5% 4.8% 4.9% 6.1% 6.5% 9.2% 10.1% 8.9% 12.5% 17.0%
John Silvestri 7.4% 7.9% 7.9% 5.8% 9.5% 8.0% 8.9% 7.7% 9.6% 7.3% 6.5% 6.1% 4.5% 2.9%
Austin Powers 5.5% 4.8% 5.0% 5.7% 6.4% 9.1% 8.9% 8.8% 9.0% 8.6% 8.7% 9.3% 6.6% 3.6%
Jack Cusick 26.2% 22.1% 14.6% 12.3% 9.6% 6.1% 3.4% 2.8% 1.8% 0.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Alison Kent 4.8% 4.8% 4.7% 5.8% 7.8% 8.1% 7.8% 8.8% 7.4% 8.9% 8.6% 9.2% 6.7% 6.6%
Christopher Craven 5.7% 6.4% 6.9% 7.6% 9.1% 8.4% 9.3% 10.2% 7.8% 7.7% 6.5% 6.1% 4.9% 3.4%
Hannah Schmidt 3.0% 2.3% 3.6% 4.3% 3.1% 4.7% 4.8% 5.1% 8.7% 8.8% 9.6% 10.3% 14.9% 16.8%
Margaux Bacro-Duverger 1.9% 2.2% 2.3% 3.1% 3.6% 4.4% 4.9% 5.2% 6.7% 6.2% 9.1% 10.6% 15.7% 24.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.