Race 2A

charleston-spring-coed

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Jonathan Lutz 11.6% 11.8% 12.2% 11.6% 11.1% 10.1% 9.8% 7.1% 5.6% 4.2% 2.5% 1.7% 0.7%
Jack Cusick 27.7% 23.2% 15.7% 12.3% 8.0% 5.3% 3.8% 1.8% 1.3% 0.4% 0.2% 0.3% 0.0%
John Silvestri 5.6% 6.3% 9.5% 9.0% 8.4% 10.7% 9.3% 9.1% 9.7% 8.0% 6.5% 5.1% 2.8%
Peter Hogan 13.7% 15.6% 14.4% 12.7% 10.6% 9.4% 8.3% 6.2% 4.8% 2.4% 1.2% 0.3% 0.4%
Charles Bocklet 5.5% 5.4% 5.5% 6.9% 7.0% 9.0% 7.2% 9.1% 9.4% 10.4% 8.9% 9.5% 6.2%
Christopher Cyr 4.6% 4.2% 5.0% 5.7% 7.0% 6.8% 7.2% 7.9% 11.2% 9.7% 11.5% 10.4% 8.8%
Christopher Craven 7.9% 6.4% 8.8% 8.2% 7.2% 9.1% 11.4% 8.5% 9.1% 8.4% 6.0% 5.6% 3.4%
Alison Kent 5.2% 5.8% 6.0% 5.4% 7.4% 7.7% 8.0% 11.3% 9.9% 10.3% 9.5% 9.1% 4.4%
Marten Kendrick 2.8% 3.0% 3.3% 3.8% 5.8% 4.3% 5.7% 6.6% 6.8% 10.2% 11.6% 16.3% 19.8%
Austin Powers 5.9% 5.6% 6.2% 6.2% 9.2% 9.9% 8.1% 9.3% 9.3% 8.1% 9.6% 6.6% 6.0%
Margaux Bacro-Duverger 1.8% 2.0% 2.8% 4.0% 3.9% 5.7% 4.5% 6.4% 6.4% 10.5% 12.7% 16.5% 22.8%
Sarah De Silva 6.1% 7.0% 8.3% 10.2% 10.1% 7.3% 9.8% 9.5% 9.1% 8.3% 7.5% 3.8% 3.0%
Hannah Schmidt 1.6% 3.7% 2.3% 4.0% 4.3% 4.7% 6.9% 7.2% 7.4% 9.1% 12.3% 14.8% 21.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.