Race 3A

charleston-spring-coed

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Christopher Craven 6.8% 4.4% 8.8% 8.8% 10.6% 7.8% 7.8% 9.7% 10.9% 8.7% 7.1% 4.9% 3.7%
Jack Cusick 27.3% 23.4% 15.9% 12.1% 7.5% 5.3% 5.0% 1.3% 0.9% 0.9% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Jonathan Lutz 10.2% 12.3% 12.9% 10.4% 10.5% 12.3% 8.7% 7.7% 6.2% 4.4% 2.9% 0.8% 0.7%
John Silvestri 5.8% 7.6% 7.4% 9.2% 10.3% 9.3% 7.9% 9.9% 8.2% 9.2% 7.9% 4.6% 2.7%
Marten Kendrick 2.9% 3.3% 3.6% 3.6% 5.7% 4.8% 6.4% 8.0% 7.7% 9.1% 11.6% 16.6% 16.7%
Austin Powers 6.2% 5.5% 6.4% 8.0% 7.5% 8.9% 8.6% 9.4% 9.6% 8.9% 7.8% 8.2% 5.0%
Charles Bocklet 5.9% 5.3% 5.4% 6.7% 6.7% 6.6% 9.1% 9.7% 9.2% 10.2% 10.6% 9.3% 5.3%
Sarah De Silva 6.8% 7.3% 8.4% 9.6% 8.8% 10.8% 10.5% 10.2% 9.4% 5.4% 6.4% 4.7% 1.7%
Alison Kent 4.9% 5.3% 5.8% 6.4% 6.2% 8.9% 9.1% 8.3% 10.6% 10.5% 8.8% 7.1% 8.1%
Margaux Bacro-Duverger 2.2% 2.3% 3.7% 3.0% 2.8% 5.2% 5.3% 5.7% 6.9% 10.3% 10.3% 16.1% 26.2%
Peter Hogan 15.8% 15.9% 13.9% 12.2% 12.3% 8.7% 7.7% 5.3% 3.8% 2.2% 1.3% 0.6% 0.3%
Hannah Schmidt 2.1% 3.0% 3.1% 3.8% 4.7% 5.3% 5.5% 6.2% 6.5% 10.9% 11.6% 16.8% 20.5%
Christopher Cyr 3.1% 4.4% 4.7% 6.2% 6.4% 6.1% 8.4% 8.6% 10.1% 9.3% 13.3% 10.3% 9.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.