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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Salve Regina University2.45+5.59vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy3.22+2.46vs Predicted
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3University of Virginia2.39+3.79vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University2.52+2.34vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston3.84-1.97vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland2.98-0.95vs Predicted
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7University of Minnesota2.13+0.42vs Predicted
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8Georgia Institute of Technology1.55+1.19vs Predicted
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9Washington College1.52+0.29vs Predicted
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10University of South Carolina1.32-0.31vs Predicted
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11University of Wisconsin2.08-3.57vs Predicted
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12University of Michigan1.93-3.73vs Predicted
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13Christopher Newport University2.21-5.55vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.59Salve Regina University2.450.1%1st Place
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4.46U. S. Naval Academy3.220.1%1st Place
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6.79University of Virginia2.390.1%1st Place
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6.34Northeastern University2.520.1%1st Place
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3.03College of Charleston3.840.3%1st Place
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5.05St. Mary's College of Maryland2.980.1%1st Place
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7.42University of Minnesota2.130.1%1st Place
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9.19Georgia Institute of Technology1.550.0%1st Place
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9.29Washington College1.520.0%1st Place
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9.69University of South Carolina1.320.0%1st Place
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7.43University of Wisconsin2.080.0%1st Place
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8.27University of Michigan1.930.0%1st Place
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7.45Christopher Newport University2.210.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Silvestri | 6.1% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 10.3% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 4.1% | 2.8% |
| Peter Hogan | 15.0% | 12.7% | 16.1% | 11.9% | 13.0% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.6% |
| Christopher Craven | 5.5% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 2.8% |
| Sarah De Silva | 6.4% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 2.1% |
| Jack Cusick | 28.5% | 22.6% | 14.7% | 13.4% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jonathan Lutz | 12.3% | 11.5% | 11.6% | 13.0% | 11.2% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Alison Kent | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 11.0% | 9.1% | 4.4% |
| Marten Kendrick | 2.8% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 10.8% | 11.9% | 17.0% | 17.2% |
| Hannah Schmidt | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 8.5% | 10.5% | 12.2% | 15.1% | 20.3% |
| Margaux Bacro-Duverger | 2.1% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 11.9% | 13.8% | 27.9% |
| Charles Bocklet | 4.4% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 10.8% | 10.1% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 5.1% |
| Christopher Cyr | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 9.7% | 11.2% | 10.3% | 11.2% | 11.2% |
| Austin Powers | 4.4% | 4.9% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 7.7% | 5.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.