Race 5A

charleston-spring-coed

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Jack Cusick 27.9% 22.9% 17.0% 12.5% 8.6% 4.4% 3.0% 2.2% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Christopher Craven 6.2% 6.5% 8.7% 7.2% 11.0% 11.4% 9.4% 9.6% 9.3% 7.5% 6.8% 4.9% 1.5%
Charles Bocklet 4.3% 3.6% 7.2% 7.6% 7.9% 7.6% 10.3% 10.1% 8.8% 11.2% 9.1% 8.3% 4.0%
John Silvestri 6.5% 8.4% 7.8% 9.1% 9.6% 9.6% 10.5% 8.9% 9.6% 8.9% 6.2% 3.5% 1.4%
Sarah De Silva 8.3% 8.7% 9.7% 9.8% 9.8% 9.8% 9.8% 10.3% 8.3% 6.6% 4.8% 3.1% 1.0%
Peter Hogan 15.6% 15.9% 13.9% 13.4% 11.3% 9.1% 7.5% 5.1% 3.7% 2.5% 1.3% 0.5% 0.2%
Hannah Schmidt 3.6% 3.8% 3.2% 3.8% 5.9% 5.7% 6.9% 5.9% 9.1% 10.0% 14.1% 14.9% 13.1%
Jonathan Lutz 13.0% 12.8% 12.4% 11.9% 10.6% 11.4% 9.5% 7.3% 4.8% 3.9% 1.7% 0.7% 0.0%
Margaux Bacro-Duverger 1.8% 3.3% 3.5% 4.0% 3.1% 4.5% 4.5% 6.2% 8.6% 10.0% 13.2% 16.4% 20.9%
Marten Kendrick 3.2% 3.7% 3.2% 4.3% 4.1% 5.5% 7.5% 8.4% 9.6% 11.1% 12.3% 14.7% 12.4%
Eric Villadsen 1.2% 1.2% 1.3% 2.6% 3.3% 4.3% 4.2% 4.5% 6.2% 7.7% 12.1% 16.5% 34.9%
Austin Powers 4.8% 5.7% 7.1% 7.6% 8.4% 8.7% 7.8% 11.2% 11.2% 9.2% 8.0% 5.9% 4.4%
Christopher Cyr 3.6% 3.5% 5.0% 6.2% 6.4% 8.0% 9.1% 10.3% 9.8% 11.1% 10.3% 10.5% 6.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.