Race 6A

charleston-spring-coed

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

61.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Jack Cusick 28.0% 21.6% 18.3% 11.9% 9.0% 5.5% 2.5% 1.3% 1.1% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
John Silvestri 7.1% 6.8% 7.1% 9.4% 11.5% 10.5% 9.8% 8.9% 9.9% 7.5% 6.0% 4.2% 1.3%
Austin Powers 4.4% 4.6% 6.5% 9.1% 8.4% 9.7% 9.6% 10.7% 10.5% 9.5% 8.2% 6.1% 2.7%
Peter Hogan 15.1% 14.4% 16.2% 12.1% 10.9% 9.8% 7.6% 6.8% 4.0% 1.9% 0.6% 0.3% 0.3%
Jonathan Lutz 12.2% 13.2% 13.4% 12.6% 10.7% 9.5% 9.8% 7.1% 4.6% 4.2% 1.7% 1.0% 0.0%
Charles Bocklet 5.1% 5.2% 5.9% 6.6% 8.6% 8.1% 9.4% 9.6% 11.3% 10.0% 8.5% 7.6% 4.1%
Sarah De Silva 8.6% 8.6% 8.6% 8.9% 10.1% 10.9% 11.8% 8.0% 8.4% 5.5% 6.2% 3.5% 0.9%
Marten Kendrick 3.0% 3.7% 3.2% 5.1% 4.8% 5.1% 6.9% 8.2% 9.1% 11.6% 12.0% 17.0% 10.3%
Hannah Schmidt 2.4% 4.0% 3.5% 4.4% 3.6% 4.4% 6.2% 8.2% 9.3% 10.7% 16.0% 14.3% 13.0%
Margaux Bacro-Duverger 2.8% 2.6% 2.6% 3.4% 4.3% 4.0% 6.0% 7.0% 8.7% 10.3% 13.4% 14.3% 20.6%
Christopher Craven 6.3% 9.1% 8.4% 9.0% 8.5% 11.9% 9.6% 9.6% 9.1% 8.7% 4.9% 2.9% 2.0%
Christopher Cyr 3.8% 4.9% 4.4% 5.7% 7.6% 7.5% 7.1% 10.1% 9.1% 10.7% 11.9% 10.5% 6.7%
Eric Villadsen 1.2% 1.3% 1.9% 1.8% 2.0% 3.1% 3.7% 4.5% 4.9% 8.8% 10.4% 18.3% 38.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.