Race 7A

charleston-spring-coed

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Austin Powers 5.2% 4.5% 6.0% 10.8% 8.7% 7.6% 8.4% 12.4% 8.0% 11.2% 7.7% 6.2% 3.3%
Christopher Cyr 4.0% 4.7% 4.6% 6.6% 7.4% 5.6% 9.9% 10.0% 10.6% 11.4% 10.4% 10.0% 4.8%
Jack Cusick 28.5% 22.2% 15.5% 12.8% 9.2% 4.8% 3.8% 1.7% 1.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Jonathan Lutz 12.3% 12.1% 12.9% 12.4% 10.8% 10.4% 9.5% 6.0% 7.0% 3.3% 2.4% 0.7% 0.2%
Peter Hogan 15.4% 16.8% 15.6% 10.9% 9.4% 11.2% 7.7% 5.8% 3.2% 1.7% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1%
John Silvestri 7.3% 7.1% 8.6% 9.4% 10.0% 10.0% 10.9% 9.9% 8.1% 7.4% 5.6% 4.5% 1.2%
Margaux Bacro-Duverger 2.4% 3.0% 3.8% 3.4% 4.1% 4.9% 5.5% 6.7% 7.1% 11.7% 12.3% 18.5% 16.6%
Hannah Schmidt 2.2% 4.3% 3.6% 4.3% 3.9% 5.5% 6.2% 7.7% 10.7% 11.5% 13.3% 13.9% 12.9%
Charles Bocklet 5.2% 4.6% 6.2% 6.4% 8.2% 7.7% 9.2% 9.8% 11.6% 9.3% 9.9% 6.9% 5.0%
Sarah De Silva 7.9% 7.8% 9.0% 9.7% 10.3% 11.1% 9.1% 8.1% 8.6% 7.7% 5.7% 3.6% 1.4%
Christopher Craven 6.0% 8.6% 8.6% 8.2% 10.8% 12.3% 9.0% 9.0% 9.5% 7.3% 5.6% 3.1% 2.0%
Eric Villadsen 1.0% 1.9% 1.8% 2.0% 2.0% 3.4% 3.5% 4.7% 6.2% 5.7% 11.3% 16.6% 39.9%
Marten Kendrick 2.6% 2.4% 3.8% 3.1% 5.2% 5.5% 7.3% 8.2% 8.3% 11.6% 13.8% 15.6% 12.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.