← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
24
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Roger Williams University3.61+6.33vs Predicted
-
2U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.92+8.69vs Predicted
-
3University of Rhode Island3.62+4.32vs Predicted
-
5Maine Maritime Academy2.81+6.42vs Predicted
-
6Yale University3.80+0.53vs Predicted
-
7Dartmouth College3.62+0.45vs Predicted
-
8Harvard University2.41+5.13vs Predicted
-
9Northeastern University3.26+0.01vs Predicted
-
10Tufts University3.37-1.86vs Predicted
-
11Amherst College2.01+4.00vs Predicted
-
12Brandeis University1.25+6.34vs Predicted
-
13Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.65-1.06vs Predicted
-
14Brown University3.40-5.49vs Predicted
-
15Salve Regina University3.31-6.40vs Predicted
-
16Boston University3.35-7.29vs Predicted
-
17University of New Hampshire1.65-0.24vs Predicted
-
18Middlebury College1.87-2.40vs Predicted
-
19McGill University1.60-2.14vs Predicted
-
20Bates College1.67-3.84vs Predicted
-
21Bowdoin College2.70-9.51vs Predicted
-
22Williams College1.47-4.44vs Predicted
-
23Connecticut College2.64-11.10vs Predicted
-
24University of Connecticut-0.21-1.88vs Predicted
-
25Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.95-5.57vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
7.33Roger Williams University3.610.1%1st Place
-
10.69U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.920.0%1st Place
-
7.32University of Rhode Island3.620.1%1st Place
-
11.42Maine Maritime Academy2.810.0%1st Place
-
6.53Yale University3.800.1%1st Place
-
7.45Dartmouth College3.620.1%1st Place
-
13.13Harvard University2.410.0%1st Place
-
9.01Northeastern University3.260.1%1st Place
-
8.14Tufts University3.370.1%1st Place
-
15.0Amherst College2.010.0%1st Place
-
18.34Brandeis University1.250.0%1st Place
-
11.94Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.650.0%1st Place
-
8.51Brown University3.400.1%1st Place
-
8.6Salve Regina University3.310.1%1st Place
-
8.71Boston University3.350.1%1st Place
-
16.76University of New Hampshire1.650.0%1st Place
-
15.6Middlebury College1.870.0%1st Place
-
16.86McGill University1.600.0%1st Place
-
16.16Bates College1.670.0%1st Place
-
11.49Bowdoin College2.700.0%1st Place
-
17.56Williams College1.470.0%1st Place
-
11.9Connecticut College2.640.0%1st Place
-
22.12University of Connecticut-0.210.0%1st Place
-
19.43Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.950.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cameron Pimentel | 8.5% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rian Bareuther | 3.9% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Matthew Carmody | 9.5% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Poole | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Christopher Segerblom | 10.7% | 11.5% | 9.3% | 6.5% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bernie Roesler | 8.5% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Byrne | 2.8% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 6.5% | 9.0% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| Maarten Eenkema Van Dijk | 6.9% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| William Hutchings | 6.1% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Black | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 1.0% |
| Jared Dunn | 0.9% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 13.6% | 15.2% | 9.0% |
| Steven Drapcho | 3.9% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Nikolas Osvalds | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 4.6% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Schon | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matt Johnson | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Edwards | 0.8% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 10.6% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 2.8% |
| Benjamin Brown | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 2.3% |
| Leif Macdonald | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 11.4% | 9.0% | 3.2% |
| Christopher Cason | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 6.6% | 3.3% |
| Billy Rohman | 3.4% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Timothy Lorenzen | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 11.8% | 12.0% | 11.1% | 4.5% |
| Timothy Clark | 2.5% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Catherine Stavola | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 13.3% | 60.2% |
| Robert Pierce | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 9.9% | 12.3% | 22.0% | 12.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.