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📊 Prediction Accuracy
63.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northern Michigan University-1.51+4.98vs Predicted
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2Michigan State University-0.97+2.73vs Predicted
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3Grand Valley State University-0.91+1.59vs Predicted
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4Ohio State University-0.97+0.72vs Predicted
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5Western Michigan University-0.73-0.59vs Predicted
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6Hillsdale College-1.74+0.56vs Predicted
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7Purdue University-0.51-3.22vs Predicted
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8Miami University-1.08-2.80vs Predicted
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9Michigan State University-2.80-0.32vs Predicted
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10Unknown School-2.34-1.99vs Predicted
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11Saginaw Valley State University-3.11-1.67vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.98Northern Michigan University-1.516.5%1st Place
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4.73Michigan State University-0.9712.0%1st Place
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4.59Grand Valley State University-0.9112.8%1st Place
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4.72Ohio State University-0.9711.9%1st Place
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4.41Western Michigan University-0.7314.8%1st Place
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6.56Hillsdale College-1.746.0%1st Place
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3.78Purdue University-0.5119.1%1st Place
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5.2Miami University-1.089.9%1st Place
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8.68Michigan State University-2.802.5%1st Place
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8.01Unknown School-2.343.1%1st Place
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9.33Saginaw Valley State University-3.111.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nathan Sylvester | 6.5% | 6.3% | 9.3% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 12.5% | 13.0% | 11.5% | 7.4% | 2.5% |
| Caden Meyers | 12.0% | 12.6% | 12.8% | 12.6% | 11.7% | 10.7% | 10.5% | 8.5% | 5.5% | 2.7% | 0.6% |
| Reed Rossell | 12.8% | 13.8% | 13.6% | 11.3% | 11.2% | 11.0% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 4.7% | 2.2% | 0.3% |
| Alexandra Avery | 11.9% | 12.7% | 11.4% | 13.6% | 11.8% | 11.3% | 10.7% | 8.6% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 0.5% |
| Jack Charlton | 14.8% | 13.1% | 13.0% | 12.5% | 12.5% | 11.7% | 9.1% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Alya MacManaway | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 11.8% | 13.2% | 16.2% | 10.5% | 4.8% |
| Joseph Mowrey | 19.1% | 17.6% | 14.1% | 12.8% | 13.6% | 9.2% | 6.9% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Griffin Boothby | 9.9% | 10.7% | 10.3% | 11.5% | 11.0% | 11.7% | 11.2% | 10.8% | 8.1% | 4.0% | 0.9% |
| AUSTIN SJAARDA | 2.5% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 10.1% | 13.5% | 23.5% | 29.2% |
| Alex Schlotterer | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 10.1% | 17.7% | 22.9% | 16.5% |
| Claire DeVoogd | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 11.2% | 21.4% | 44.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.