Race 8A

charleston-spring-coed

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Jack Cusick 30.3% 20.0% 17.2% 10.7% 9.3% 6.3% 2.8% 1.5% 1.2% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Sarah De Silva 7.8% 7.4% 9.1% 9.2% 11.2% 10.8% 9.6% 10.1% 7.8% 7.4% 5.4% 2.7% 1.5%
Austin Powers 4.3% 5.8% 6.6% 9.7% 6.9% 8.7% 8.7% 11.7% 10.2% 9.9% 8.4% 6.5% 2.6%
John Silvestri 7.3% 7.5% 7.2% 9.9% 11.1% 8.4% 10.8% 9.0% 9.2% 7.6% 7.1% 3.7% 1.2%
Jonathan Lutz 12.5% 13.9% 13.8% 9.5% 12.1% 10.8% 9.1% 6.4% 5.4% 3.5% 2.0% 1.0% 0.0%
Hannah Schmidt 2.4% 3.6% 4.2% 4.1% 4.7% 5.9% 8.0% 6.9% 7.8% 11.2% 12.1% 17.3% 11.8%
Peter Hogan 15.9% 16.0% 14.5% 14.1% 10.1% 8.6% 7.7% 6.4% 3.3% 2.0% 1.0% 0.4% 0.0%
Christopher Cyr 4.0% 5.6% 5.2% 5.9% 7.2% 7.1% 7.1% 11.1% 10.8% 11.2% 9.3% 9.4% 6.1%
Charles Bocklet 4.7% 5.6% 5.0% 7.1% 8.0% 8.2% 9.6% 9.7% 9.3% 9.8% 9.9% 7.7% 5.4%
Eric Villadsen 1.1% 2.2% 2.1% 2.4% 2.2% 3.1% 3.2% 4.4% 5.5% 8.7% 10.0% 16.4% 38.7%
Margaux Bacro-Duverger 1.9% 2.4% 3.1% 4.0% 4.4% 5.4% 7.0% 6.2% 9.3% 9.8% 14.5% 14.9% 17.1%
Marten Kendrick 2.5% 2.5% 4.0% 4.6% 4.1% 6.1% 6.7% 7.6% 9.0% 9.8% 13.9% 15.5% 13.7%
Christopher Craven 5.3% 7.5% 8.0% 8.8% 8.7% 10.6% 9.7% 9.0% 11.2% 8.5% 6.3% 4.5% 1.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.