Race 9A

charleston-spring-coed

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Charles Willard 21.8% 19.6% 17.3% 11.5% 11.3% 7.2% 5.3% 3.0% 1.2% 1.5% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Christopher Craven 6.6% 7.7% 8.3% 8.0% 9.7% 10.0% 7.5% 10.4% 10.7% 9.0% 6.2% 4.6% 1.3%
Austin Powers 5.0% 5.3% 7.0% 8.3% 9.0% 8.8% 9.8% 9.8% 10.4% 10.2% 7.5% 6.5% 2.4%
Jonathan Lutz 12.8% 12.6% 11.9% 13.6% 9.9% 10.2% 9.3% 7.9% 5.8% 4.2% 0.6% 0.7% 0.5%
Christopher Cyr 5.5% 4.5% 5.7% 7.4% 5.4% 7.5% 8.5% 10.1% 9.1% 10.8% 11.9% 9.5% 4.1%
John Silvestri 8.1% 8.0% 8.7% 9.5% 10.2% 9.2% 11.1% 7.8% 8.1% 6.4% 7.4% 4.5% 1.0%
Sarah De Silva 9.5% 8.6% 8.9% 9.4% 8.1% 12.4% 9.3% 9.1% 8.5% 6.3% 5.3% 3.7% 0.9%
Charles Bocklet 4.8% 6.7% 5.9% 6.2% 7.5% 8.7% 8.6% 10.4% 10.7% 10.0% 9.4% 7.1% 4.0%
Marten Kendrick 2.8% 3.5% 3.9% 4.1% 4.7% 5.1% 5.7% 7.7% 10.4% 10.1% 13.9% 14.4% 13.7%
Margaux Bacro-Duverger 2.9% 2.2% 3.2% 3.4% 4.6% 3.9% 6.0% 7.4% 7.8% 11.0% 12.5% 16.1% 19.0%
Peter Hogan 16.6% 17.4% 14.1% 13.4% 11.2% 9.2% 6.8% 4.9% 3.3% 1.4% 1.0% 0.7% 0.0%
Eric Villadsen 0.8% 1.4% 2.0% 1.8% 3.2% 2.3% 4.6% 4.6% 5.3% 7.6% 9.9% 17.8% 38.7%
Hannah Schmidt 2.8% 2.5% 3.1% 3.4% 5.2% 5.5% 7.5% 6.9% 8.7% 11.5% 14.1% 14.4% 14.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.