Race 10A

charleston-spring-coed

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Charles Willard 23.8% 19.0% 15.3% 11.8% 11.4% 6.9% 5.4% 3.1% 1.4% 1.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
Austin Powers 5.4% 7.2% 6.1% 7.9% 7.9% 8.8% 9.8% 8.9% 11.0% 9.6% 8.8% 5.8% 2.8%
Sarah De Silva 7.9% 6.8% 10.5% 9.9% 10.1% 8.8% 9.5% 11.0% 9.4% 6.5% 5.2% 3.5% 0.9%
John Silvestri 7.0% 8.0% 8.2% 9.6% 10.1% 9.7% 8.2% 10.2% 9.0% 7.7% 7.0% 4.1% 1.2%
Hannah Schmidt 3.6% 3.8% 2.7% 4.4% 5.6% 6.9% 5.6% 6.8% 9.3% 10.6% 13.5% 13.6% 13.6%
Jonathan Lutz 14.0% 12.7% 13.2% 12.2% 10.1% 10.5% 8.3% 7.4% 5.3% 2.7% 2.2% 1.2% 0.2%
Christopher Craven 8.1% 8.2% 7.4% 8.5% 8.5% 8.9% 12.1% 7.9% 9.5% 8.1% 6.5% 4.8% 1.5%
Charles Bocklet 5.2% 6.0% 5.5% 6.5% 7.7% 9.1% 8.3% 10.5% 9.9% 10.5% 10.0% 6.6% 4.2%
Marten Kendrick 2.9% 3.3% 5.0% 3.4% 4.5% 5.5% 5.8% 7.4% 9.1% 10.9% 12.0% 16.1% 14.1%
Christopher Cyr 5.0% 5.2% 5.1% 6.1% 6.7% 7.4% 8.7% 10.8% 9.1% 10.5% 10.8% 9.1% 5.5%
Margaux Bacro-Duverger 2.3% 2.4% 3.4% 3.7% 5.0% 5.0% 5.7% 7.1% 7.7% 11.5% 12.6% 17.1% 16.5%
Eric Villadsen 1.1% 1.4% 1.8% 2.3% 2.6% 3.0% 3.8% 3.6% 5.5% 8.1% 9.8% 17.7% 39.3%
Peter Hogan 13.7% 16.0% 15.8% 13.7% 9.8% 9.5% 8.8% 5.3% 3.8% 2.0% 1.1% 0.3% 0.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.