Race 11A

charleston-spring-coed

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

25.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Jack Cusick 26.9% 22.7% 16.8% 12.7% 7.5% 5.9% 3.7% 2.4% 1.0% 0.2% 0.2% 0.0%
Jonathan Lutz 10.9% 13.6% 11.6% 11.7% 12.5% 9.6% 8.7% 8.1% 6.2% 3.9% 2.8% 0.4%
Christopher Craven 7.5% 6.9% 7.7% 6.9% 7.9% 10.2% 10.1% 11.3% 10.5% 10.0% 7.2% 3.8%
Charles Bocklet 3.7% 4.2% 6.5% 7.5% 8.0% 8.7% 9.5% 9.1% 10.9% 11.2% 10.4% 10.3%
Christopher Cyr 3.6% 4.6% 6.0% 6.1% 8.1% 7.0% 7.4% 8.6% 10.8% 11.1% 13.4% 13.3%
Peter Hogan 15.3% 14.9% 13.7% 13.9% 11.9% 9.3% 8.1% 5.1% 4.0% 2.6% 0.9% 0.3%
Alison Kent 5.5% 5.8% 6.5% 7.3% 8.1% 9.4% 8.4% 10.1% 9.6% 11.2% 10.2% 7.9%
John Silvestri 7.7% 8.3% 8.9% 9.0% 8.5% 9.2% 10.0% 9.9% 9.3% 7.9% 7.6% 3.7%
Austin Powers 5.0% 4.9% 7.7% 9.2% 8.9% 9.2% 10.3% 9.6% 9.6% 10.2% 9.6% 5.8%
Sarah De Silva 8.4% 8.0% 8.4% 8.0% 11.1% 11.0% 9.4% 11.2% 7.8% 7.8% 5.4% 3.5%
Marten Kendrick 2.7% 2.3% 3.4% 4.2% 3.8% 5.1% 7.1% 8.1% 9.9% 12.4% 16.1% 24.9%
Hannah Schmidt 2.8% 3.8% 2.8% 3.5% 3.7% 5.4% 7.3% 6.5% 10.4% 11.5% 16.2% 26.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.